Live Analyst Rating Changes 24628 upgrades, downgrades & price-target moves · freshest Wall Street data, updated daily View live feed →
Analyst Tracker/Jon Arfstrom
RBC

Jon Arfstrom

Wall Street Analyst
★★★★★
#220
on 13Foresight · ranked by our own returns
72%
Success Rate
+6.3%
Average Return
67 of 93 calls profitable · +1.1% vs benchmark
S&P 500 (SPY)
📈 Across the calls we could measure, roughly 72% of Jon Arfstrom's ratings turned a profit when each position was held for 1 year — averaging +6.3% per rating. These figures are computed by 13Foresight from historical prices, not supplied by the analyst.

Rating Distribution

102 Buy 146 Hold 0 Sell
Jon's Stock Coverage 40 ratings · 2026-08-14
Company Date Position Consensus Price Target 1-Yr Return vs S&P 500
CFR
Cullen/Frost Bankers
Jul 30, 2026 HOLD Buy
-10.0% avg upside
21 analysts
$176.00
4.30% Upside
+3.1% ·
UMBF
UMB Financial
Jul 29, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-7.2% avg upside
19 analysts
$170.00
12.64% Upside
+0.8% ·
PB
Prosperity Bancshares
Jul 29, 2026 HOLD Buy
+6.5% avg upside
21 analysts
$80.00
7.21% Upside
+1.1% ·
AXP
American Express
Jul 24, 2026 BUY Buy
-14.7% avg upside
47 analysts
$415.00
20.78% Upside
+5.1% ·
FLG
Flagstar Financial
Jul 24, 2026 HOLD Buy
+1.7% avg upside
31 analysts
$15.00
5.17% Upside
+1.2% ·
PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners
Jul 23, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+5.4% avg upside
31 analysts
$117.00
9.14% Upside
+8.7% ·
VLY
Valley National Bancorp
Jul 23, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-4.3% avg upside
24 analysts
$17.00
13.16% Upside
+3.3% ·
SLM
SLM
Jul 23, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-6.8% avg upside
18 analysts
$29.00
4.61% Upside
+15.7% ·
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
Jul 23, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+5.5% avg upside
27 analysts
$21.00
18.26% Upside
+2.1% ·
COLB
Columbia Banking System
Jul 23, 2026 HOLD Buy
-1.1% avg upside
18 analysts
$35.00
7.93% Upside
-0.0% ·
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
Jul 23, 2026 HOLD Buy
-14.7% avg upside
19 analysts
$33.00
2.51% Upside
+6.3% ·
BFH
Bread Financial Holdings
Jul 23, 2026 HOLD Buy
+28.1% avg upside
36 analysts
$115.00
3.05% Upside
+9.5% ·
FFBC
First Financial Bancorp
Jul 22, 2026 HOLD Buy
-5.9% avg upside
14 analysts
$36.00
4.76% Upside
+0.4% ·
BKU
BankUnited
Jul 22, 2026 HOLD Buy
+0.3% avg upside
18 analysts
$50.00
4.51% Upside
+4.9% ·
WAL
Western Alliance
Jul 22, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+9.6% avg upside
27 analysts
$95.00
16.21% Upside
-0.8% ·
TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares
Jul 22, 2026 HOLD Hold
-12.1% avg upside
23 analysts
$114.00
13.14% Upside
-1.5% ·
ONB
Old National Bancorp Capital
Jul 22, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+1.6% avg upside
17 analysts
$29.00
7.12% Upside
+2.6% ·
WTFC
Wintrust Financial
Jul 21, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-6.2% avg upside
19 analysts
$186.00
14.54% Upside
+2.6% ·
BOKF
Bok Financial
Jul 21, 2026 HOLD Hold
-7.3% avg upside
13 analysts
$149.00
2.26% Upside
+3.4% ·
COF
Capital One Financial
Jul 21, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
-7.3% avg upside
41 analysts
$235.00
4.97% Upside
+9.7% ·
WBS
Webster Financial
Jul 21, 2026 HOLD Buy
-13.8% avg upside
30 analysts
$76.00
3.76% Downside
+4.5% ·
ALLY
Ally Financial
Jul 21, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+10.4% avg upside
28 analysts
$55.00
23.31% Upside
+1.8% ·
SYF
Synchrony Financial
Jul 21, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
-5.4% avg upside
31 analysts
$80.00
0.04% Downside
+12.7% ·
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
Jul 20, 2026 HOLD Hold
-9.1% avg upside
34 analysts
$76.00
6.16% Upside
-0.6% ·
HOMB
Home Bancshares
Jul 16, 2026 HOLD Buy
-2.4% avg upside
14 analysts
$31.00
1.20% Downside
+3.0% ·
FHN
First Horizon
Jul 15, 2026 BUY Buy
-11.2% avg upside
31 analysts
$30.00
15.28% Upside
+5.1% ·
BBT
Beacon Financial Corporation
Jul 25, 2025 HOLD Buy
-1.5% avg upside
12 analysts
$31.00
4.23% Downside
+22.4% ·
FCF
First Commonwealth
Jul 02, 2025 BUY Strong Buy
-3.9% avg upside
12 analysts
$19.00
12.14% Downside
+24.4% ·
WSBC
WesBanco
Jul 02, 2025 HOLD Buy
-11.8% avg upside
11 analysts
$34.00
20.47% Downside
+24.6% ·
PFS
Provident Financial Services
Jan 29, 2025 BUY Strong Buy
+27.1% avg upside
16 analysts
$23.00
7.95% Downside
+27.8% ·
FRCB
First Republic Bank
Feb 08, 2023 HOLD Buy
+23796775.0% avg upside
22 analysts
$150.00
37499900.01% Upside
· ·
WAFD
Washington Federal
Jan 16, 2019 HOLD Hold
-16.4% avg upside
8 analysts
$31.00
18.41% Downside
+28.2% ·
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
Oct 18, 2018 BUY Buy
-18.9% avg upside
9 analysts
$45.00
30.38% Downside
-5.0% ·
DRI
Darden Restaurants
Nov 08, 2016 HOLD Strong Buy
-4.0% avg upside
33 analysts
$70.00
68.77% Downside
+28.9% ·
USB
US Bancorp
Nov 08, 2016 BUY Strong Buy
-1.5% avg upside
34 analysts
$48.00
26.43% Downside
+19.7% ·
HWC
Hancock Whitney
Oct 19, 2016 HOLD Strong Buy
-16.2% avg upside
17 analysts
$32.00
59.64% Downside
+53.4% ·
FRBKQ
Republic First Bancorp
Oct 13, 2016 HOLD Hold
+499999899.9% avg upside
1 analyst
$5.00
499999899.90% Upside
· ·
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
Sep 13, 2016 BUY Strong Buy
-6.0% avg upside
32 analysts
$22.00
61.99% Downside
+33.2% ·
CFFN
Capitol Federal Financial
Oct 31, 2013 HOLD Hold
+34.6% avg upside
5 analysts
$13.00
47.02% Upside
+8.9% ·
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
Aug 07, 2009 BUY Buy
+11.8% avg upside
17 analysts
$10.00
1.51% Upside
+17.0% ·
🔒 35 more ratings — with price targets, crowd consensus and our measured returns.
Free account unlocks every analyst's full coverage table.
Jon Arfstrom — Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate are Jon Arfstrom's stock ratings?
Based on the calls 13Foresight could measure, about 72% of Jon's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +6.1% per rating, or +1.1% versus the S&P 500. We score every analyst the same way, from historical prices. Each return is measured in the stock's own trading currency, so for non-US listings the S&P 500 comparison leaves out currency moves.
How is Jon ranked on 13Foresight?
Jon Arfstrom is currently ranked #220 with a 5-star rating. Our rank blends hit rate, average return versus the market, and how many calls we have to judge — so a long, consistent record outweighs a few lucky picks. It is our own calculation, updated daily.
Which stocks does Jon cover?
Jon most recently has ratings on CFR, UMBF, PB, AXP, FLG, PNFP, VLY, SLM, HBAN, COLB, ASB, BFH and 28 more. See the full coverage table above for positions, price targets and our measured returns.
Where can I see other analyst ratings?
Browse the full analyst leaderboard to compare Wall Street analysts ranked by their measured performance, success rate and average return.

Disclaimer: 13Foresight compiles analyst ratings and price targets from publicly available sources. Performance metrics, rankings and star ratings shown here are calculated independently by 13Foresight from historical market prices and may differ from figures published elsewhere. This information may be incomplete, delayed or inaccurate, is provided for research and informational purposes only, and is not investment advice. The underlying ratings and opinions are those of the respective analysts and their firms; 13Foresight accepts no liability for any decisions made based on this data.