Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Capital One Finl Corp (COF)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in COF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +62
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — COF

Based on 2131 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added COF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
2,131 hedge funds hold COF right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +10% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+189 new funds entered over the past year (+10% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

1084 buying980 selling
Last quarter: 1,084 funds bought or added vs 980 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+40 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new COF position: 185 → 359 → 207 → 247. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 28% medium ■ 18% new
1,159 out of 2,131 hedge funds have held COF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +37%, value +14%

Value
+14%
Shares
+36%
Last quarter: funds added +37% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +14%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

651 → 185 → 359 → 207 → 247 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 185 → 359 → 207 → 247. COF is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 60% veterans vs 31% newcomers

■ 60% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,206 holders: 1,332 (60%) are 2+ year veterans, 201 entered 1–2 years ago, and 673 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds

58% from top-100 AUM funds
71 of 2123 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in COF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — COF

In 2026 Q2, 1084 hedge funds were net buyers of COF (247 opened a new position, 837 added to an existing one), while 980 reduced or exited (795 trimmed, 185 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 58% of total institutional value in COF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +62 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 2131.

Hedge Fund Ownership: COF

How many hedge funds hold COF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of COF vs. share price

Market Analysis: COF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: COF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

63 top-rated funds 24 high-conviction
Consensus
7.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: COF
2026 Q3 Stats Unlock in 43 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in COF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 2102 2069 1.59%
13F Shares 544M 524M 3.84%
Total Value $105.67B $93.35B 13.2%
New Positions 237 207 +30
Increased Positions 807 785 +22
Closed Positions 196 329 -133
Reduced Positions 766 802 -36
Total Calls 41 50 -18.0%
Total Puts 42 46 -8.7%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.02 0.92 Neutral

Statistics: COF

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in COF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 COF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Pb Investment Partners, L.P. 18.05% 135,158 $27.1M
2 Khrom Capital Management LLC 14.91% 887,221 $178.0M
3 Ribbit Management Company, LLC 13.00% 1,330,289 $266.9M
4 Triveni Capital Investments LP 11.32% 47,321 $9.5M
5 Meritage Group LP 10.22% 1,321,428 $265.1M
6 LB Partners LLC 9.58% 70,056 $14.1M
7 Davis Selected Advisers 7.13% 8,270,946 $1.66B
8 Saraza Management, LP 7.12% 89,000 $17.9M
9 Cna Financial Corp 6.72% 80,000 $16.0M
10 Cander Asset Management LP 6.65% 179,043 $35.9M
11 Teewinot Capital Advisers, L.L.C. 6.45% 444,190 $89.1M
12 Avantyr Capital Partners, LP 6.40% 866,466 $173.8M
13 OPTIMAS CAPITAL Ltd 6.40% 30,900 $6.2M
14 Karl Kapital LLC 6.13% 51,276 $10.3M
15 Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P. 6.11% 1,956,084 $392.4M
16 JCSD Capital, LLC 5.35% 18,300 $3.7M
17 Central Securities Corp 5.24% 350,000 $70.2M
18 Sessa Capital IM, L.P. 5.23% 1,558,233 $312.6M
19 Bruni J V & Co /Co 5.03% 274,554 $55.1M
20 Carlson Capital, L.P. 4.99% 122,855 $24.6M
21 M.D. Sass, LLC 4.77% 363,556 $72.9M
22 Algebris (uk) Ltd 4.35% 330,696 $66.1M
23 Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC 4.32% 988,973 $198.4M
24 140 Summer Partners LP 4.30% 300,464 $60.3M
25 Point Break Capital Management, LLC 4.17% 19,061 $3.8M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

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Frequently Asked Questions — Capital One Finl Corp (COF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for COF?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added COF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for COF?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 1,084 funds bought or added vs 980 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for COF holders?

Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds: 71 of 2123 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in COF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held COF?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,159 out of 2,131 hedge funds have held COF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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