Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Capital One Finl Corp (COF)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in COF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -124
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — COF

Based on 2065 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their COF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 94% of 3.0Y peak

94% of all-time peak
2,065 funds currently hold this stock — 94% of the 3.0-year high of 2,189 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +49% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+680 new funds entered over the past year (+49% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

1003 buying1157 selling
Last quarter: 1,157 funds reduced or exited vs 1,003 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-153 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 648 → 185 → 358 → 205. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 28% medium ■ 18% new
1,110 out of 2,065 hedge funds have held COF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -31%

Value
-31%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -31%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

192 → 648 → 185 → 358 → 205 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 648 → 185 → 358 → 205. COF is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 31% newcomers

■ 61% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 2,154 holders: 1,308 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 177 entered 1–2 years ago, and 669 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds

48% from top-100 AUM funds
68 of 2057 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in COF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — COF

In 2026 Q1, 1003 hedge funds were net buyers of COF (205 opened a new position, 798 added to an existing one), while 1157 reduced or exited (828 trimmed, 329 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 48% of total institutional value in COF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -124 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 2065.

Hedge Fund Ownership: COF

How many hedge funds hold COF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of COF vs. share price

Market Analysis: COF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: COF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Capital One Finl Corp (COF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much COF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 83d ago
COF
+10.5%
XLF
+126.4%

COF outperformed XLF by -115.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 38d ago
COF
+8.1%
XLF
+96.0%

Since the filing became public, COF outperformed XLF by -87.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

105 top-rated funds 25 high-conviction
Consensus
8.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: COF
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in COF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 2049 2189 -6.4%
13F Shares 521M 560M -7.02%
Total Value $92.72B $134.64B -31.14%
New Positions 201 358 -157
Increased Positions 783 803 -20
Closed Positions 341 143 +198
Reduced Positions 794 721 +73
Total Calls 50 42 19.05%
Total Puts 46 47 -2.13%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.92 1.12 Neutral

Statistics: COF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in COF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 COF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Pb Investment Partners, L.P. 19.14% 133,301 $24.3M
2 Khrom Capital Management LLC 13.68% 819,826 $149.6M
3 Point Break Capital Management, LLC 12.72% 61,403 $11.2M
4 LB Partners LLC 11.46% 70,056 $12.8M
5 Triveni Capital Investments LP 10.75% 59,480 $10.9M
6 Meritage Group LP 9.04% 1,313,033 $239.5M
7 Alua Capital Management LP 8.65% 537,686 $98.1M
8 Cna Financial Corp 8.15% 105,000 $19.2M
9 Davis Selected Advisers 7.15% 8,539,736 $1.56B
10 Karl Kapital LLC 7.02% 55,548 $10.1M
11 Saraza Management, LP 6.60% 86,300 $15.7M
12 Cander Asset Management LP 6.34% 193,578 $35.3M
13 Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb L.P. 6.11% 2,017,807 $368.1M
14 CAS Investment Partners, LLC 6.01% 575,548 $105.0M
15 Blue Grotto Capital, LLC 5.91% 281,013 $51.3M
16 Avantyr Capital Partners, LP 5.38% 614,295 $112.1M
17 Bruni J V & Co /Co 5.28% 277,239 $50.6M
18 Central Securities Corp 5.27% 350,000 $63.9M
19 Sessa Capital IM, L.P. 5.16% 1,558,233 $284.3M
20 Dendur Capital LP 4.77% 356,500 $65.0M
21 Brave Warrior Advisors, LLC 4.53% 1,004,304 $183.2M
22 140 Summer Partners LP 4.37% 392,322 $71.6M
23 M.D. Sass, LLC 4.05% 292,901 $53.4M
24 Eagle Capital Management LLC 4.02% 6,566,595 $1.20B
25 Delta Global Management LP 4.00% 267,837 $48.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Capital One Finl Corp (COF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for COF?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their COF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for COF?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 1,157 funds reduced or exited vs 1,003 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for COF holders?

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds: 68 of 2057 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in COF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held COF?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,110 out of 2,065 hedge funds have held COF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Capital One Finl Corp (COF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, COF has moved +8.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +96.0% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -87.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), COF has gained +10.5% vs +126.4% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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