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Analyst Tracker/Michael Ciarmoli
GUGG

Michael Ciarmoli

Wall Street Analyst
★★★★☆
#547
on 13Foresight · ranked by our own returns
39%
Success Rate
-4.7%
Average Return
24 of 61 calls profitable · +35.6% vs benchmark
S&P 500 (SPY)
📈 Across the calls we could measure, roughly 39% of Michael Ciarmoli's ratings turned a profit when each position was held for 1 year — averaging -4.7% per rating. These figures are computed by 13Foresight from historical prices, not supplied by the analyst.

Rating Distribution

112 Buy 38 Hold 0 Sell
Michael's Stock Coverage 35 ratings · 2026-09-26
Company Date Position Consensus ⓘ Price Target ⓘ 1-Yr Return vs S&P 500 ⓘ
LYNX
Lyntris Inc
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+52.9% avg upside
7 analysts
$20.00
55.53% Upside
-4.5% ·
NOC
Northrop Grumman
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+20.9% avg upside
26 analysts
$612.00
19.85% Upside
-3.5% ·
DRS
Leonardo Drs
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+11.0% avg upside
16 analysts
$51.00
37.28% Upside
+5.7% ·
RBC
RBC Bearings
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-15.3% avg upside
13 analysts
$600.00
18.46% Upside
+5.7% ·
TDG
Transdigm Group
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Buy
+22.0% avg upside
28 analysts
— -0.5% ·
VSEC
VSE
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+28.1% avg upside
12 analysts
— -3.1% ·
WWD
Woodward
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+21.9% avg upside
15 analysts
$404.00
22.33% Upside
+1.7% ·
BWXT
BWX Technologies
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+48.1% avg upside
17 analysts
$192.00
38.65% Upside
-6.6% ·
HWM
Howmet Aerospace
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+5.0% avg upside
29 analysts
$350.00
50.56% Upside
+1.3% ·
RDW
Redwire
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+24.8% avg upside
13 analysts
— +10.6% ·
SARO
StandardAero, Inc.
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+51.6% avg upside
13 analysts
— -5.2% ·
KRMN
Karman Holdings Inc.
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+152.2% avg upside
12 analysts
$63.00
76.60% Upside
+0.5% ·
YSS
York Space Systems, Inc.
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Buy
+63.5% avg upside
14 analysts
— +24.1% ·
AADX
Applied Aerospace & Defense
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+103.2% avg upside
7 analysts
$30.00
137.36% Upside
+9.5% ·
AIR
AAR
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Buy
+37.1% avg upside
10 analysts
— +0.4% ·
CW
Curtiss-Wright
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+24.1% avg upside
12 analysts
$786.00
45.62% Upside
-1.3% ·
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+25.3% avg upside
31 analysts
$365.00
53.55% Upside
-0.8% ·
HEI
HEICO
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+6.3% avg upside
27 analysts
— +2.2% ·
HXL
Hexcel
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Buy
+14.5% avg upside
20 analysts
$120.00
39.81% Upside
-6.0% ·
KTOS
Kratos Defense
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+92.5% avg upside
26 analysts
$74.00
62.23% Upside
-3.0% ·
MRCY
Mercury Systems
Sep 14, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+13.7% avg upside
16 analysts
$115.00
39.88% Upside
+2.1% ·
MOG.A
Moog
Sep 14, 2026 HOLD Buy
-32.4% avg upside
7 analysts
— +0.6% ·
TATT
Tat Techno
Mar 23, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+58.3% avg upside
7 analysts
$61.00
62.42% Upside
-17.4% ·
ASLE
AerSale Corporation
Mar 06, 2026 HOLD Hold
+38.2% avg upside
4 analysts
$8.00
48.05% Upside
-14.9% ·
DCO
Ducommun
Feb 27, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-6.7% avg upside
8 analysts
$136.00
21.08% Downside
+21.4% ·
ATRO
Astronics
Feb 25, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
-8.4% avg upside
7 analysts
$107.00
54.57% Upside
+1.3% ·
AIN
Albany International
Feb 25, 2026 HOLD Hold
+23.0% avg upside
9 analysts
— +25.9% ·
EXP
Eagle Materials
Feb 02, 2026 HOLD Hold
+15.6% avg upside
18 analysts
— -4.8% ·
LMT
Lockheed Martin
Jan 30, 2026 BUY Buy
+2.6% avg upside
30 analysts
$695.00
33.74% Upside
-14.5% ·
PH
Parker Hannifin
Jul 01, 2025 BUY Strong Buy
-1.3% avg upside
29 analysts
— +38.2% ·
SPCE
Virgin Galactic Holdings
Nov 19, 2024 HOLD Hold
+221.9% avg upside
17 analysts
— -49.2% ·
JELD
JELD-WEN
Aug 06, 2024 HOLD Hold
+521.4% avg upside
16 analysts
— -62.1% ·
AMCR
Amcor
Feb 08, 2023 HOLD Buy
+11.1% avg upside
18 analysts
$12.00
71.78% Downside
-14.5% ·
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
Jan 15, 2015 SELL Strong Buy
+12.9% avg upside
18 analysts
— +19.3% ·
AVAV
AeroVironment
Dec 05, 2012 HOLD Strong Buy
+45.1% avg upside
24 analysts
— +30.0% ·
🔒 30 more ratings — with price targets, crowd consensus and our measured returns.
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Michael Ciarmoli — Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate are Michael Ciarmoli's stock ratings?
Based on the calls 13Foresight could measure, about 41% of Michael's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of -4.9% per rating, or +35.4% versus the S&P 500. We score every analyst the same way, from historical prices. Each return is measured in the stock's own trading currency, so for non-US listings the S&P 500 comparison leaves out currency moves.
How is Michael ranked on 13Foresight?
Michael Ciarmoli is currently ranked #547 with a 4-star rating. Our rank blends hit rate, average return versus the market, and how many calls we have to judge — so a long, consistent record outweighs a few lucky picks. It is our own calculation, updated daily.
Which stocks does Michael cover?
Michael most recently has ratings on LYNX, NOC, DRS, RBC, TDG, VSEC, WWD, BWXT, HWM, RDW, SARO, KRMN and 23 more. See the full coverage table above for positions, price targets and our measured returns.
Where can I see other analyst ratings?
Browse the full analyst leaderboard to compare Wall Street analysts ranked by their measured performance, success rate and average return.

Disclaimer: 13Foresight compiles analyst ratings and price targets from publicly available sources. Performance metrics, rankings and star ratings shown here are calculated independently by 13Foresight from historical market prices and may differ from figures published elsewhere. This information may be incomplete, delayed or inaccurate, is provided for research and informational purposes only, and is not investment advice. The underlying ratings and opinions are those of the respective analysts and their firms; 13Foresight accepts no liability for any decisions made based on this data.