Based on 562 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AVAV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
562 hedge funds hold AVAV right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +48% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+182 new funds entered over the past year (+48% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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Slight buying edge — 56% buying
338 buying265 selling
Last quarter: 338 funds bought or added vs 265 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-26 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 55 → 140 → 149 → 123. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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42% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 42% conviction (2yr+)
■ 25% medium
■ 33% new
234 out of 562 hedge funds have held AVAV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
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Growing discovery — still being found
67 → 55 → 140 → 149 → 123 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 55 → 140 → 149 → 123. A growing number of institutions are discovering AVAV each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
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Deep conviction — 49% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 49% veterans
■ 15% 1-2yr
■ 36% new
Of 588 current holders: 289 (49%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds
56% from top-100 AUM funds
44 of 562 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in AVAV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.