Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Transdigm Group Inc (TDG)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TDG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -14
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — TDG

Based on 1108 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TDG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (99% of max)

99% of all-time peak
1,108 hedge funds hold TDG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+44 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

527 buying550 selling
Last quarter: 550 funds reduced or exited vs 527 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-57 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 128 → 102 → 186 → 129. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 17% new
700 out of 1,108 hedge funds have held TDG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

150 → 128 → 102 → 186 → 129 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 128 → 102 → 186 → 129. A growing number of institutions are discovering TDG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,132 holders: 742 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 149 entered 1–2 years ago, and 241 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds

56% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 1107 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in TDG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TDG

In 2026 Q1, 527 hedge funds were net buyers of TDG (129 opened a new position, 398 added to an existing one), while 550 reduced or exited (407 trimmed, 143 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 56% of total institutional value in TDG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -14 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1108.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TDG

How many hedge funds hold TDG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TDG vs. share price

Market Analysis: TDG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TDG

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TDG has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
TDG
+12.2%
XLI
+10.5%

TDG outperformed XLI by +1.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
TDG
+13.2%
XLI
+4.2%

Since the filing became public, TDG outperformed XLI by +9.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

73 top-rated funds 26 high-conviction
Consensus
8.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TDG
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TDG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1097 1122 -2.23%
13F Shares 52M 54M -3.37%
Total Value $58.83B $70.43B -16.47%
New Positions 125 186 -61
Increased Positions 390 372 +18
Closed Positions 150 115 +35
Reduced Positions 397 366 +31
Total Calls 13 15 -13.33%
Total Puts 12 13 -7.69%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.92 0.87 Neutral

Statistics: TDG

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TDG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TDG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 BRX Global LP 46.98% 31,097 $36.0M
2 Altarock Partners LP 25.54% 909,168 $1.05B
3 Anabranch Capital Management, LP 21.96% 21,768 $25.2M
4 Blacksheep Fund Management Ltd 21.45% 45,754 $53.0M
5 Bluegrass Capital Partners LP 16.37% 19,600 $22.7M
6 Oakcliff Capital Partners, LP 12.36% 24,170 $28.0M
7 Stockbridge Partners LLC 12.16% 434,281 $503.3M
8 Heard Capital LLC 10.70% 178,610 $207.0M
9 Lynwood Price Capital Management LP 9.46% 15,200 $17.6M
10 Atalan Capital Partners, LP 9.03% 84,500 $97.9M
11 East Coast Asset Management, LLC. 8.87% 23,220 $26.9M
12 Praesidium Investment Management Company, LLC 8.71% 31,460 $36.5M
13 Owlhouse Capital LP 8.45% 5,490 $6.4M
14 Cat Rock Capital Management LP 8.30% 46,084 $53.4M
15 Shelter Rock Management, LLC 7.46% 6,070 $7.0M
16 Asset Planning,Inc 7.44% 9,031 $10.5M
17 Coalescence Partners Investment Management, LP 7.09% 28,282 $32.8M
18 Fairbanks Capital Management, Inc. 6.89% 9,497 $11.0M
19 Crow's Nest Holdings LP 6.41% 23,667 $27.4M
20 Windacre Partnership LLC 6.32% 509,600 $590.6M
21 Inherent Management Corp. 5.89% 10,000 $11.6M
22 OAKMONT Corp 5.79% 26,289 $30.5M
23 Maestria Partners LLC 5.77% 13,652 $15.8M
24 Vulcan Value Partners, LLC 5.66% 184,228 $213.5M
25 Hudson Way Capital Management LLC 5.47% 49,367 $57.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Transdigm Group Inc (TDG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TDG?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TDG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TDG?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 550 funds reduced or exited vs 527 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TDG holders?

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 1107 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in TDG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TDG?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 700 out of 1,108 hedge funds have held TDG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TDG has moved +13.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.2% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +9.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TDG has gained +12.2% vs +10.5% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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