Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
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Kratos Defense & Sec Solutio (KTOS)

702 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in KTOS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +47
Streak
10Q ▲
Buyers last Q
61%

Smart Money Signals — KTOS

Based on 706 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KTOS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
706 hedge funds hold KTOS right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +78% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+310 new funds entered over the past year (+78% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying

449 buying291 selling
Last quarter: 449 funds were net buyers (140 opened a brand new position + 309 added to an existing one). Only 291 were sellers (198 trimmed + 93 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new KTOS position: 136 → 197 → 130 → 140. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 37% long-term, 36% new

37% conviction (2yr+) 27% medium 36% new
Of the 706 current holders: 264 (37%) held >2 years, 189 held 1–2 years, and 253 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

95 → 136 → 197 → 130 → 140 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 136 → 197 → 130 → 140. KTOS is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 45% veterans vs 45% newcomers

45% veterans 10% 1-2yr 45% new
Entry-cohort mix of 740 holders: 336 (45%) are 2+ year veterans, 71 entered 1–2 years ago, and 333 (45%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds

36% from top-100 AUM funds
59 of 701 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — KTOS

In 2026 Q1, 449 hedge funds were net buyers of KTOS (140 opened a new position, 309 added to an existing one), while 291 reduced or exited (198 trimmed, 93 sold completely) — a 61% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 10 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 36% of total institutional value in KTOS is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +47 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 706.

Hedge Fund Ownership: KTOS

How many hedge funds hold KTOS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of KTOS vs. share price

Market Analysis: KTOS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: KTOS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Kratos Defense & Sec Solutio (KTOS) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much KTOS has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
KTOS
-18.1%
XLI
+8.9%

KTOS outperformed XLI by -27.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
KTOS
+10.9%
XLI
+329.7%

Since the filing became public, KTOS outperformed XLI by -318.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

51 top-rated funds 12 high-conviction
Consensus
7.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: KTOS
702 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in KTOS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 702 659 6.53%
13F Shares 170M 157M 8.08%
Total Value $11.41B $11.76B -2.96%
New Positions 137 130 +7
Increased Positions 303 217 +86
Closed Positions 94 91 +3
Reduced Positions 190 236 -46
Total Calls 21 19 10.53%
Total Puts 17 15 13.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.81 0.79 Neutral

Statistics: KTOS

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

702 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in KTOS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 KTOS holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Rovida Investment Management Ltd 15.68% 1,773,655 $125.0M
2 Spear Advisors LLC 4.70% 89,439 $6.3M
3 S Squared Technology, LLC 4.66% 174,475 $12.3M
4 American Capital Management Inc 4.06% 1,071,908 $75.6M
5 Jericho Capital Asset Management L.P. 2.76% 2,649,578 $186.8M
6 Lumbard & Kellner, LLC 2.57% 105,348 $7.4M
7 Fogel Capital Management, Inc. 2.51% 77,948 $5.5M
8 Nicholas Investment Partners, LP 1.99% 390,924 $27.6M
9 Hood River Capital Management LLC 1.92% 2,714,571 $191.4M
10 ARK Investment Management LLC 1.91% 3,491,194 $246.2M
11 Emerald Advisers, LLC 1.87% 835,929 $58.9M
12 Essex Investment Management Co LLC 1.77% 158,844 $11.2M
13 Register Financial Advisors LLC 1.77% 67,954 $4.8M
14 MinichMacGregor Wealth Management, LLC 1.75% 140,442 $9.9M
15 Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust 1.75% 510,656 $36.0M
16 Harvest Investment Services, LLC 1.54% 119,501 $8.4M
17 Zweig-DiMenna Associates LLC 1.51% 155,026 $10.9M
18 Delphi Financial Group, INC. 1.40% 44,030 $3.1M
19 Zimmer Partners, LP 1.33% 783,148 $55.2M
20 Lisanti Capital Growth, LLC 1.32% 74,235 $5.2M
21 Future Fund LLC 1.27% 51,136 $3.6M
22 Bard Associates Inc 1.25% 70,598 $5.0M
23 Ghisallo Capital Management LLC 1.17% 600,000 $42.3M
24 Amova Asset Management Americas, Inc. 1.14% 1,144,337 $80.7M
25 Bannerstone Capital Management, LLC 1.13% 17,284 $1.2M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Kratos Defense & Sec Solutio (KTOS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for KTOS?

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row: For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KTOS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for KTOS?

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying: Last quarter: 449 funds were net buyers (140 opened a brand new position + 309 added to an existing one). Only 291 were sellers (198 trimmed + 93 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for KTOS holders?

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds: 59 of 701 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held KTOS?

Mixed — 37% long-term, 36% new: Of the 706 current holders: 264 (37%) held >2 years, 189 held 1–2 years, and 253 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Kratos Defense & Sec Solutio (KTOS) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, KTOS has moved +10.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +329.7% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -318.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), KTOS has gained -18.1% vs +8.9% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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