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Analyst Tracker/Paul Johnson
KBW

Paul Johnson

KBW
Wall Street Analyst
★★★★☆
#822
on 13Foresight · ranked by our own returns
65%
Success Rate
+2.7%
Average Return
34 of 52 calls profitable · -4.2% vs benchmark
S&P 500 (SPY)
🔒 5-year track record is Pro. Showing 1-year — upgrade.
📈 Across the calls we could measure, roughly 65% of Paul Johnson's ratings turned a profit when each position was held for 1 year — averaging +2.7% per rating. These figures are computed by 13Foresight from historical prices, not supplied by the analyst.

Rating Distribution

51 Buy 61 Hold 8 Sell
Paul's Stock Coverage 31 ratings · 2026-08-12
Company Date Position Consensus ⓘ Price Target ⓘ 1-Yr Return vs S&P 500 ⓘ
MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
 Aug 11, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+26.0% avg upside
10 analysts
$15.50
25.09% Upside
 · ·
MSDL
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Buy
+9.8% avg upside
8 analysts
$16.00
4.80% Upside
 +0.0% ·
NCDL
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Buy
+17.6% avg upside
7 analysts
$13.50
10.40% Upside
 -0.6% ·
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty Lending
 Aug 10, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+13.2% avg upside
16 analysts
$19.50
4.84% Upside
 · ·
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Buy
+203.1% avg upside
12 analysts
$4.00
3.05% Upside
 · ·
BCIC
BCP Investment Corporation
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Hold
+16.4% avg upside
6 analysts
$7.50
2.87% Downside
 · ·
FDUS
Fidus Investment
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Buy
+2.4% avg upside
8 analysts
$19.50
1.52% Downside
 · ·
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
 Aug 10, 2026 HOLD Buy
+13.6% avg upside
17 analysts
$10.50
8.50% Upside
 · ·
FSK
FS KKR Capital
 Aug 07, 2026 HOLD Buy
+19.8% avg upside
15 analysts
$11.00
9.38% Downside
 -1.5% ·
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
 Aug 06, 2026 HOLD Hold
+44.7% avg upside
9 analysts
$5.50
4.42% Upside
 -0.6% ·
TRIN
Trinity Capital
 Aug 06, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
-7.1% avg upside
11 analysts
$16.50
9.72% Downside
 +3.8% ·
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending
 Aug 06, 2026 HOLD Hold
+0.5% avg upside
17 analysts
$13.50
6.30% Upside
 -0.5% ·
GBDC
Golub Capital Bdc
 Aug 05, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+10.2% avg upside
8 analysts
$13.50
4.00% Upside
 +2.9% ·
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
 Aug 05, 2026 HOLD Buy
+21.8% avg upside
10 analysts
$8.00
4.60% Upside
 +4.1% ·
HTGC
Hercules Capital, Inc.
 Jul 31, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+11.6% avg upside
15 analysts
$18.00
8.84% Upside
 +4.6% ·
ARCC
Ares Capital
 Jul 30, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+3.7% avg upside
22 analysts
$20.00
1.01% Upside
 +6.0% ·
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC
 Jul 20, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+26.5% avg upside
8 analysts
$13.00
15.87% Upside
 +6.6% ·
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
 Jul 20, 2026 BUY Buy
+9.9% avg upside
6 analysts
$15.00
19.47% Upside
 +3.5% ·
SCM
Stellus Capital
 Jul 20, 2026 HOLD Buy
+52.8% avg upside
8 analysts
$8.00
8.04% Downside
 +19.8% ·
BXSL
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
 Jun 08, 2026 HOLD Buy
+10.8% avg upside
15 analysts
$24.00
0.89% Downside
 +7.3% ·
PS
Pershing Square Inc.
 May 26, 2026 HOLD Buy
+4.4% avg upside
23 analysts
$42.00
7.53% Upside
 +5.6% ·
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
 May 12, 2026 HOLD Buy
+18.8% avg upside
10 analysts
$12.00
3.35% Upside
 +13.6% ·
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
 May 11, 2026 SELL Hold
+52.5% avg upside
14 analysts
$4.00
7.58% Upside
 +5.0% ·
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
 May 11, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+38.6% avg upside
14 analysts
$14.50
12.79% Upside
 +1.1% ·
OBDC
Blue Owl Capital
 Apr 16, 2026 HOLD Strong Buy
+22.4% avg upside
17 analysts
$12.00
3.52% Upside
 +3.5% ·
HRZN
Horizon Technology
 Mar 05, 2026 HOLD Hold
+46.5% avg upside
11 analysts
$5.00
1.64% Upside
 +14.5% ·
KBDC
Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
 Mar 04, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+10.4% avg upside
5 analysts
$15.50
12.36% Upside
 +6.0% ·
PFLT
Pennantpark
 Feb 12, 2026 BUY Strong Buy
+41.8% avg upside
10 analysts
$10.00
32.24% Upside
 -9.3% ·
BBDC
Barings BDC
 Nov 10, 2025 HOLD Strong Buy
+27.8% avg upside
10 analysts
$9.50
3.21% Upside
 +16.1% ·
ECC
Eagle Point Credit Company
 Aug 11, 2025 HOLD Strong Buy
+139.3% avg upside
10 analysts
 — -21.8% ·
NEWT
Newtek Business
 Apr 05, 2023 HOLD Buy
+22.9% avg upside
11 analysts
$12.00
6.27% Downside
 +2.5% ·
🔒 26 more ratings — with price targets, crowd consensus and our measured returns.
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Paul Johnson — Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate are Paul Johnson's stock ratings?
Based on the calls 13Foresight could measure, about 65% of Paul's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +2.7% per rating, or -4.2% versus the S&P 500. We score every analyst the same way, from historical prices. Each return is measured in the stock's own trading currency, so for non-US listings the S&P 500 comparison leaves out currency moves.
How is Paul ranked on 13Foresight?
Paul Johnson is currently ranked #822 with a 4-star rating. Our rank blends hit rate, average return versus the market, and how many calls we have to judge — so a long, consistent record outweighs a few lucky picks. It is our own calculation, updated daily.
Which stocks does Paul cover?
Paul most recently has ratings on MSIF, MSDL, NCDL, TSLX, TCPC, BCIC, FDUS, MFIC, FSK, TPVG, TRIN, OCSL and 19 more. See the full coverage table above for positions, price targets and our measured returns.
Where can I see other analyst ratings?
Browse the full analyst leaderboard to compare Wall Street analysts ranked by their measured performance, success rate and average return.

Disclaimer: 13Foresight compiles analyst ratings and price targets from publicly available sources. Performance metrics, rankings and star ratings shown here are calculated independently by 13Foresight from historical market prices and may differ from figures published elsewhere. This information may be incomplete, delayed or inaccurate, is provided for research and informational purposes only, and is not investment advice. The underlying ratings and opinions are those of the respective analysts and their firms; 13Foresight accepts no liability for any decisions made based on this data.