Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG)

414 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +34
Streak
11Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — MFG

Based on 420 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MFG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
420 hedge funds hold MFG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +46% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+132 new funds entered over the past year (+46% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

273 buying156 selling
Last quarter: 273 funds were net buyers (89 opened a brand new position + 184 added to an existing one). Only 156 were sellers (101 trimmed + 55 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~89 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 55 → 70 → 85 → 89. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

43% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 43% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 36% new
181 out of 420 hedge funds have held MFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

47 → 55 → 70 → 85 → 89 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 55 → 70 → 85 → 89. A growing number of institutions are discovering MFG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 49% veterans vs 39% newcomers

■ 49% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 39% new
Entry-cohort mix of 421 holders: 207 (49%) are 2+ year veterans, 48 entered 1–2 years ago, and 166 (39%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 71% AUM from top-100 funds

71% from top-100 AUM funds
37 of 418 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 71% of total institutional value in MFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MFG

In 2026 Q1, 273 hedge funds were net buyers of MFG (89 opened a new position, 184 added to an existing one), while 156 reduced or exited (101 trimmed, 55 sold completely) — a 64% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 11 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 71% of total institutional value in MFG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +34 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 420.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MFG

How many hedge funds hold MFG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MFG vs. share price

Market Analysis: MFG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MFG

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MFG has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
MFG
+27.7%
XLF
+1220.3%

MFG outperformed XLF by -1192.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
MFG
+16.7%
XLF
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, MFG outperformed XLF by +11.9% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

14 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MFG
414 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 414 386 7.25%
13F Shares 252M 234M 7.82%
Total Value $1.87B $1.73B 7.9%
New Positions 86 85 +1
Increased Positions 182 187 -5
Closed Positions 58 39 +19
Reduced Positions 100 69 +31
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 2 0 100%
PUT/CALL Ratio 2.0 0.0 Bearish

Statistics: MFG

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

414 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MFG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MFG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 XY Capital Ltd 2.87% 365,039 $2.9M
2 Augustine Asset Management Inc 1.47% 823,173 $6.5M
3 Altman Advisors, Inc. 1.25% 379,398 $3.0M
4 Ramirez Asset Management, Inc. 1.22% 1,267,938 $10.1M
5 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 1.19% 826,552 $6.6M
6 Themes Management Co LLC 0.60% 123,420 $980K
7 Massar Capital Management, LP 0.55% 650,000 $5.2M
8 Legacy Wealth Asset Management, LLC 0.39% 200,203 $1.6M
9 Gallacher Capital Management LLC 0.28% 91,895 $730K
10 Naviter Wealth, LLC 0.27% 269,268 $2.1M
11 BayBridge Capital Group, LLC 0.21% 46,339 $339K
12 Ariadne Wealth Management, LP 0.16% 45,680 $363K
13 West Family Investments, Inc. 0.15% 55,655 $442K
14 Strategic Global Advisors, LLC 0.15% 118,441 $940K
15 Five Oceans Advisors 0.14% 49,492 $393K
16 First Affirmative Financial Network 0.14% 44,880 $301K
17 Cromwell Holdings LLC 0.14% 30,429 $242K
18 Sivia Capital Partners, LLC 0.13% 83,790 $665K
19 Channing Global Advisors, LLC 0.13% 27,398 $218K
20 August Group Capital Ltd 0.12% 13,454 $107K
21 Abel Hall, LLC 0.11% 63,045 $501K
22 Harbour Capital Advisors, LLC 0.10% 66,560 $550K
23 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.10% 43,481 $345K
24 SmartHarvest Portfolios, LLC 0.09% 28,461 $226K
25 Evolve Private Wealth, LLC 0.09% 217,462 $1.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MFG?

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row: For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MFG than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MFG?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 273 funds were net buyers (89 opened a brand new position + 184 added to an existing one). Only 156 were sellers (101 trimmed + 55 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for MFG holders?

Elite ownership — 71% AUM from top-100 funds: 37 of 418 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 71% of total institutional value in MFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MFG?

43% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 181 out of 420 hedge funds have held MFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Mizuho Financial Group Inc (MFG) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MFG has moved +16.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +11.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MFG has gained +27.7% vs +1220.3% for XLF. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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