Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Carmax Inc (KMX)

548 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in KMX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +6
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — KMX

Based on 557 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KMX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 75% of 3.0Y peak

75% of all-time peak
557 funds currently hold this stock — 75% of the 3.0-year high of 744 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 23% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
168 fewer hedge funds hold KMX compared to a year ago (-23% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

242 buying351 selling
Last quarter: 351 funds reduced or exited vs 242 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 70 → 110 → 103 → 97. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

68% of holders stayed for 2+ years

68% conviction (2yr+) 13% medium 19% new
377 out of 557 hedge funds have held KMX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+16% value, -3% shares)

Value
+15%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: total value of institutional KMX holdings rose +16% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

107 → 70 → 110 → 103 → 97 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 70 → 110 → 103 → 97. A growing number of institutions are discovering KMX each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 72% veterans vs 20% newcomers

72% veterans 8% 1-2yr 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 592 holders: 425 (72%) are 2+ year veterans, 47 entered 1–2 years ago, and 120 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 554 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in KMX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — KMX

In 2026 Q2, 242 hedge funds were net buyers of KMX (97 opened a new position, 145 added to an existing one), while 351 reduced or exited (260 trimmed, 91 sold completely) — a 41% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 54% of total institutional value in KMX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +6 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 557.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About KMX

▲ 1 bullish
Jeffrey C. Smith · Starboard Value long 2026-08-05
Trading at attractive multiples; expects market share gains via operational efficiency.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Television
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: KMX

How many hedge funds hold KMX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of KMX vs. share price

Market Analysis: KMX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: KMX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

27 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: KMX
548 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in KMX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 548 551 -0.54%
13F Shares 152M 166M -8.3%
Total Value $7.96B $7.02B 13.42%
New Positions 95 103 -8
Increased Positions 134 172 -38
Closed Positions 95 87 +8
Reduced Positions 249 195 +54
Total Calls 18 15 20.0%
Total Puts 20 23 -13.04%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.11 1.53 Neutral

Statistics: KMX

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

548 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in KMX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 KMX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Rings Capital Management LLC 25.54% 949,000 $50.2M
2 Framtiden Holdings Management Co LLC 20.83% 610,000 $34.4M
3 Silver Heights Capital Management Inc 14.90% 912,993 $48.3M
4 Mount Capital Ltd 11.67% 584,800 $30.9M
5 Kiltearn Partners LLP 5.22% 406,479 $21.5M
6 BML Capital Management, LLC 5.18% 172,500 $9.1M
7 Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP 4.81% 2,834,458 $149.9M
8 Endure Capital Management, LLC 4.50% 383,260 $20.3M
9 Banyan Capital Management, INC. 3.89% 169,214 $8.9M
10 Starboard Value LP 3.75% 3,206,438 $169.6M
11 Hillman Capital Management, Inc. 3.50% 91,385 $4.8M
12 Biglari, Sardar 3.49% 41,100 $2.2M
13 Gagnon Securities LLC 3.32% 325,410 $17.2M
14 Nexus Investment Management ULC 3.17% 459,315 $24.3M
15 SRS Investment Management, LLC 2.90% 5,922,862 $313.3M
16 Asset Management Advisors, LLC 2.32% 79,419 $4.2M
17 Broad Run Investment Management, LLC 2.31% 283,226 $15.0M
18 First Pacific Advisors, LP 1.97% 3,008,564 $159.1M
19 Midway Capital Research & Management 1.91% 45,398 $2.4M
20 Elevated Private Wealth, LLC 1.90% 37,866 $2.0M
21 VARCOV Co. 1.51% 75,144 $4.0M
22 Vulcan Value Partners, LLC 1.47% 912,638 $48.3M
23 Slate Path Capital LP 1.34% 1,827,700 $96.7M
24 Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 1.22% 174,637 $9.2M
25 Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. 1.18% 1,986,285 $105.1M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Carmax Inc (KMX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for KMX?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added KMX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for KMX?

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying: Last quarter: 351 funds reduced or exited vs 242 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for KMX holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 554 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in KMX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held KMX?

68% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 377 out of 557 hedge funds have held KMX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →