Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Carnival Corp (CCL)

57 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in CCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -7
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — CCL

Based on 1042 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CCL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
1,042 hedge funds hold CCL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+38 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

635 buying463 selling
Last quarter: 635 funds bought or added vs 463 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+40 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new CCL position: 137 → 189 → 138 → 178. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 62% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 19% new
644 out of 1,042 hedge funds have held CCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~178 new funds/quarter

183 → 137 → 189 → 138 → 178 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 137 → 189 → 138 → 178. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,113 holders: 761 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 124 entered 1–2 years ago, and 228 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds

51% from top-100 AUM funds
64 of 1034 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in CCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — CCL

In 2026 Q2, 635 hedge funds were net buyers of CCL (178 opened a new position, 457 added to an existing one), while 463 reduced or exited (278 trimmed, 185 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 51% of total institutional value in CCL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -7 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1042.

Hedge Fund Ownership: CCL

How many hedge funds hold CCL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of CCL vs. share price

Market Analysis: CCL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: CCL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Carnival Corp (CCL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much CCL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q3 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End September 30, 2026 · 43d ago
CCL
+25.2%
XLY
+10.7%

CCL outperformed XLY by +14.5% since September 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date November 14, 2026 · -2d ago
CCL
+0.0%
XLY
+0.0%

Since the filing became public, CCL outperformed XLY by +0.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: CCL
2026 Q3 Stats Unlock in 7 days 57 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in CCL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 57 1024 -94.43%
13F Shares 67M 915M -92.7%
Total Value $1.89B $23.15B -91.86%
New Positions 14 134 -120
Increased Positions 16 443 -427
Closed Positions 981 202 +779
Reduced Positions 9 289 -280
Total Calls 1 36 -97.22%
Total Puts 1 35 -97.14%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.97 Neutral

Statistics: CCL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

57 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in CCL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 CCL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Hound Partners, LLC 14.74% 4,452,022 $127.2M
2 Causeway Capital Management LLC 12.74% 41,190,606 $1.18B
3 59 North Capital Management, LP 6.58% 10,351,493 $295.7M
4 Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP 4.89% 1,842,815 $52.6M
5 Black Cypress Capital Management, LLC 4.87% 255,136 $7.3M
6 Nixon Capital, LLC 4.73% 525,740 $15.0M
7 Tabor Asset Management, LP 4.10% 470,510 $13.4M
8 Clough Capital Partners L P 3.16% 1,358,503 $38.8M
9 Deltec Asset Management LLC 2.56% 606,584 $17.3M
10 Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss LLC 2.38% 27,502,985 $785.8M
11 Leith Wheeler Investment Counsel Ltd. 1.59% 732,339 $20.9M
12 Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P. 1.34% 569,159 $16.3M
13 Renaissance Group LLC 1.29% 1,111,315 $31.8M
14 Viking Global Investors LP 1.16% 14,299,953 $408.5M
15 Portland Investment Counsel INC. 1.11% 139,602 $4.0M
16 Scott & Selber, Inc. 1.09% 180,556 $5.2M
17 Aster Capital Management (DIFC) Ltd 1.08% 163,153 $4.6M
18 Mad River Investors 1.02% 95,373 $2.7M
19 Pentwater Capital Management LP 1.00% 5,705,000 $163.0M
20 Shellback Capital, LP 0.88% 350,000 $10.0M
21 Osborne Partners Capital Management, LLC 0.87% 546,785 $15.6M
22 Clearline Capital LP 0.84% 492,724 $14.1M
23 Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co., Ltd. 0.84% 9,566 $273K
24 Alight Capital Management LP 0.80% 200,000 $5.7M
25 Credit Capital Investments LLC 0.70% 43,000 $1.2M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

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Frequently Asked Questions — Carnival Corp (CCL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for CCL?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CCL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for CCL?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 635 funds bought or added vs 463 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for CCL holders?

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds: 64 of 1034 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in CCL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held CCL?

62% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 644 out of 1,042 hedge funds have held CCL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Carnival Corp (CCL) following the 2026 Q3 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, CCL has moved +0.0% since the 2026 Q3 13F filing date (November 14, 2026), compared to +0.0% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.0%. Since the quarter end (September 30, 2026), CCL has gained +25.2% vs +10.7% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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