Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tractor Supply Co (TSCO)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TSCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -53
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — TSCO

Based on 1163 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSCO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (96% of max)

96% of all-time peak
1,163 hedge funds hold TSCO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TSCO is almost the same as a year ago (-15 funds, -1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

500 buying660 selling
Last quarter: 660 funds reduced or exited vs 500 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-47 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 112 → 138 → 160 → 113. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 70% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 15% new
809 out of 1,163 hedge funds have held TSCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~113 new funds/quarter

123 → 112 → 138 → 160 → 113 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 112 → 138 → 160 → 113. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 18% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,191 holders: 845 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 129 entered 1–2 years ago, and 217 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 1159 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in TSCO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TSCO

In 2026 Q1, 500 hedge funds were net buyers of TSCO (113 opened a new position, 387 added to an existing one), while 660 reduced or exited (494 trimmed, 166 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 49% of total institutional value in TSCO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -53 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1163.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TSCO

How many hedge funds hold TSCO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TSCO vs. share price

Market Analysis: TSCO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TSCO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TSCO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
TSCO
-33.7%
XLY
+8.9%

TSCO outperformed XLY by -42.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
TSCO
-0.9%
XLY
+1.9%

Since the filing became public, TSCO outperformed XLY by -2.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

67 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
8.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TSCO
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TSCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1154 1216 -5.1%
13F Shares 476M 515M -7.59%
Total Value $20.18B $25.54B -20.98%
New Positions 109 160 -51
Increased Positions 376 409 -33
Closed Positions 171 140 +31
Reduced Positions 485 458 +27
Total Calls 14 22 -36.36%
Total Puts 18 20 -10.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.29 0.91 Bearish

Statistics: TSCO

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TSCO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TSCO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Darwins River Capital, LP 5.30% 218,579 $9.9M
2 Navera Investment Management Ltd. 4.89% 4,224,554 $191.4M
3 Thomas Story & Son LLC 4.58% 263,227 $11.9M
4 Wedgewood Partners Inc 4.27% 456,094 $20.7M
5 Riverstone Advisors, LLC 3.58% 160,456 $7.3M
6 Buckland Partners Management Co LLC 3.43% 125,000 $5.7M
7 Select Equity Group, L.P. 3.08% 13,296,464 $602.3M
8 McBroom & Associates, LLC 2.99% 118,659 $5.4M
9 Speece Thorson Capital Group Inc 2.94% 284,459 $12.9M
10 HFR Wealth Management, LLC 2.89% 259,514 $11.8M
11 Provident Trust Co 2.23% 2,357,052 $106.8M
12 Bontempo Ohly Capital Mgmt LLC 1.91% 93,602 $4.2M
13 Willis Investment Counsel 1.69% 683,231 $31.0M
14 Running Oak Capital LLC 1.67% 273,447 $12.4M
15 McCollum Christoferson Group LLC 1.66% 145,260 $5.5M
16 Bellecapital International Ltd. 1.49% 176,628 $8.0M
17 Westco Advisory Services Inc /Adv 1.41% 48,440 $2.2M
18 Tilia Fiduciary Partners, INC. 1.37% 54,989 $2.5M
19 Dearborn Partners LLC 1.25% 511,499 $23.2M
20 Baypointe Partners LLC 1.24% 20,000 $906K
21 JGP Wealth Management, LLC 1.23% 261,741 $11.9M
22 Bell Asset Management Ltd 1.23% 92,688 $4.2M
23 Hardworking Capital Advisors, LLC 1.16% 27,383 $1.2M
24 Hendershot Investments Inc. 1.16% 190,146 $8.6M
25 Champlain Investment Partners, LLC 1.16% 2,011,884 $91.1M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tractor Supply Co (TSCO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TSCO?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSCO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TSCO?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 660 funds reduced or exited vs 500 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TSCO holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 1159 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in TSCO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TSCO?

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 809 out of 1,163 hedge funds have held TSCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Tractor Supply Co (TSCO) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TSCO has moved -0.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of -2.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TSCO has gained -33.7% vs +8.9% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →