Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Moderna Inc (MRNA)

766 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MRNA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +61
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — MRNA

Based on 794 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MRNA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
794 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 934 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +20% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+130 new funds entered over the past year (+20% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

424 buying356 selling
Last quarter: 424 funds bought or added vs 356 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~156 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 75 → 125 → 155 → 156. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 20% new
499 out of 794 hedge funds have held MRNA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +33% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+33%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +33%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

96 → 75 → 125 → 155 → 156 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 75 → 125 → 155 → 156. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 70% veterans vs 20% newcomers

■ 70% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 854 holders: 597 (70%) are 2+ year veterans, 87 entered 1–2 years ago, and 170 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds

66% from top-100 AUM funds
63 of 776 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in MRNA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MRNA

In 2026 Q2, 424 hedge funds were net buyers of MRNA (156 opened a new position, 268 added to an existing one), while 356 reduced or exited (261 trimmed, 95 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 66% of total institutional value in MRNA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +61 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 794.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About MRNA

▲ 1 bullish
David M. Rubenstein · Carlyle Group long 2026-09-18
mRNA technology proven by COVID vaccine; late-stage trials show success in melanoma and pancreatic cancer vaccines.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia BlackRock
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: MRNA

How many hedge funds hold MRNA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MRNA vs. share price

Market Analysis: MRNA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MRNA

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

31 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
6.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MRNA
766 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MRNA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 766 733 4.5%
13F Shares 360M 377M -4.42%
Total Value $24.65B $18.78B 31.25%
New Positions 152 155 -3
Increased Positions 242 230 +12
Closed Positions 101 102 -1
Reduced Positions 248 210 +38
Total Calls 38 34 11.76%
Total Puts 39 41 -4.88%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.03 1.21 Neutral

Statistics: MRNA

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

766 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MRNA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MRNA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Theleme Partners LLP 33.52% 8,057,571 $564.3M
2 Merck & Co., Inc. 30.71% 2,308,190 $161.6M
3 Flagship Pioneering, LLC 21.07% 4,632,149 $324.4M
4 Mount Capital Ltd 12.10% 457,900 $32.1M
5 Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. 10.51% 695,000 $48.7M
6 Plustick Management LLC 6.38% 245,000 $17.2M
7 REX Advisers, LLC 4.29% 27,100 $1.9M
8 Arrow Capital Pty Ltd 3.58% 60,000 $4.2M
9 Telemark Asset Management, LLC 3.54% 700,000 $49.0M
10 Ikarian Capital, LLC 3.02% 400,000 $28.0M
11 Aufman Associates Inc 1.82% 65,687 $4.6M
12 Elevated Private Wealth, LLC 1.66% 25,040 $1.8M
13 DC Investments Management, LLC 1.64% 68,624 $4.8M
14 Green Alpha Advisors, LLC 1.59% 33,758 $2.4M
15 Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 1.58% 500,000 $35.0M
16 Scientech Research LLC 1.52% 26,826 $1.9M
17 Affinity Asset Advisors, LLC 1.50% 475,000 $33.3M
18 Twin Focus Capital Partners, LLC 1.32% 185,601 $13.0M
19 Douglas Lane & Associates, LLC 1.28% 1,343,479 $94.1M
20 Banque Pictet & Cie SA 1.18% 2,699,402 $189.0M
21 Legal Advantage Investments, Inc. 1.17% 47,675 $3.3M
22 Baillie Gifford & Co 1.16% 18,206,778 $1.28B
23 Lingotto Investment Management LLP 1.15% 763,907 $53.5M
24 Westwood Wealth Management 1.08% 53,140 $3.7M
25 Perceptive Advisors LLC 1.05% 1,000,000 $70.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Moderna Inc (MRNA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MRNA?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MRNA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MRNA?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 424 funds bought or added vs 356 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MRNA holders?

Elite ownership — 66% AUM from top-100 funds: 63 of 776 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 66% of total institutional value in MRNA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MRNA?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 499 out of 794 hedge funds have held MRNA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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