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Fund Overview
About
Investment Strategy
Activity Summary — 2025 Q4
Q4 2025 13F Filed:
Feb 10, 2026
Top Buys
%
$
| Stock | % Impact |
|---|---|
| No major buys detected | |
Top Sells
%
$
| Stock | % Impact |
|---|---|
| No major sells detected | |
Activity Summary
Market Value
$409M
AUM Change
N/A
New Positions
0
Increased Positions
0
Closed Positions
0
Top 10 Concentration
+86.87%
Portfolio Turnover
+0.00%
Alt Turnover
+0.00%
Sector Allocation Trends
Free View: Last 10 Quarters. Subscribe to see full
history
Holdings Analysis
Size: % of Portfolio
Color: Last Full-Quarter Return
No data
Free: 10 quarters
Positions Dynamics
Visualizing Top 20 holdings weight history over the last 10 quarters.
Portfolio Analytics — Latest
Headwater Capital Co Ltd risk dashboard covering volatility, beta, value-at-risk, drawdowns, concentration, factor tilts, benchmark comparison, and stress testing for the latest disclosed portfolio.
Risk access
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Guru Intelligence Hub
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Real-time Analytics
High-Conviction Alpha
AAPL
92.4
NVDA
88.1
MSFT
74.3
Strategy Guardian
Style Drift
0.12
Sector Rotation
0.38
Tracking institutional benchmark deviation
Scenario Lab
2008 GFC
-32.4%
Covid-19
-18.1%
2022 Bear
-24.7%
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Real conviction scores for every
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Best Strategy vs. Benchmarks
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Returns
--
Latest Quarter
--
1-Year Return
--
Ann. Return
Risk
--
Std Deviation
--
Max Drawdown
--
Beta vs SPY
Quality
--
Sharpe
--
Sortino
--
Win Rate
Edge Metrics
Last 10 quarters only
--
Alpha annualized
--
Up Capture
--
Down Capture
Strategy Backtester: Headwater Capital Co Ltd
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Risk insights! Identify periods when the fund lagged the benchmark – critical for timing entries.
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Underperformance Analysis — Top 10 Holdings vs SPY
Backtesting Headwater Capital Co Ltd's top 10 holdings against SPY identified 4 underperformance periods. Worst drawdown: 2025-02 – 2025-02 (-4.7% vs SPY, 1 quarter).
Avg. lag: -3.6% vs SPY
•
Avg. duration: 1.2 quarters
Backtest Snapshot — Top 10 Holdings (Mn-Weighted)
The ticker-level breakdown shows how each of Headwater Capital Co Ltd's top holdings contributed to portfolio returns quarter by quarter. Strongest recent contributors inside the last 5 years of the quarterly Top 10 backtest window: TSM (2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3, +13.8 pts), META (2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3, +7.8 pts), LITE (2025 Q3 – 2025 Q3, +6.9 pts), MU (2025 Q3 – 2025 Q3, +3.0 pts), FUTU (2025 Q1 – 2025 Q1, +2.9 pts) .
Strategy ann.: 36.1%
•
SPY ann.: 17.1%
•
Period:
2025–2026
Best Recent Contributors — Last 5Y
1 of 5 recent top contributors lagged SPY,
which means even some of this fund's best return drivers still failed to beat a simple index over the same window.
2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3
• 4Q in Top 10
Beat SPY
TSM
+82%
SPY
+20%
Contrib
+13.8%
2024 Q4 – 2025 Q3
• 4Q in Top 10
Lagged SPY
META
+11%
SPY
+20%
Contrib
+7.8%
2025 Q3 – 2025 Q3
• 1Q in Top 10
Beat SPY
LITE
+121%
SPY
+2%
Contrib
+6.9%
2025 Q3 – 2025 Q3
• 1Q in Top 10
Beat SPY
MU
+52%
SPY
+2%
Contrib
+3.0%
2025 Q1 – 2025 Q1
• 1Q in Top 10
Beat SPY
FUTU
+61%
SPY
+14%
Contrib
+2.9%
■ Stock return (green = beat SPY)
■ Stock return (red = lagged SPY)
■ SPY same period
■ Cumulative contribution during the last 5 years of the quarterly Mn-weighted Top 10 strategy
Disclaimer: 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, or financial planner. All information on this site is provided solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Portfolio backtests shown on this page are hypothetical and simulated — they do not represent actual trading results and were constructed with the benefit of hindsight. Actual results would differ materially. 13F filings disclose only long equity positions valued above $10,000, submitted up to 45 days after quarter-end; they do not capture short positions, options, bonds, cash, private investments, or non-U.S. securities. A fund's backtest performance may not reflect its actual returns, as managers frequently generate alpha through strategies not visible in 13F data. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from public SEC EDGAR filings. Use at your own risk. Full Terms of Use.