Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM)

4K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TSM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +332
Streak
5Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — TSM

Based on 3594 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TSM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
3,594 hedge funds hold TSM right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +38% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+995 new funds entered over the past year (+38% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

1981 buying1490 selling
Last quarter: 1,981 funds bought or added vs 1,490 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+131 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TSM position: 335 → 487 → 356 → 487. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years

50% conviction (2yr+) 25% medium 24% new
1,814 out of 3,594 hedge funds have held TSM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +49% but shares only +4% — price-driven

Value
+49%
Shares
+4%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +49%, but actual share count only changed +4%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~487 new funds/quarter

384 → 335 → 487 → 356 → 487 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 335 → 487 → 356 → 487. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 54% veterans vs 30% newcomers

54% veterans 16% 1-2yr 30% new
Entry-cohort mix of 3,754 holders: 2,010 (54%) are 2+ year veterans, 609 entered 1–2 years ago, and 1,135 (30%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds

53% from top-100 AUM funds
70 of 3578 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in TSM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TSM

In 2026 Q2, 1981 hedge funds were net buyers of TSM (487 opened a new position, 1494 added to an existing one), while 1490 reduced or exited (1335 trimmed, 155 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 5 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 53% of total institutional value in TSM is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +332 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 3594.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About TSM

▲ 2 bullish
Kevin Mahn · Hennion and Walsh Asset Management long 2026-09-22
Prefers TSM as a net receiver of AI spending, trading at attractive forward earnings multiple.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Schwab Network
Glen Kacher · Light Street Capital long 2026-09-18
Long TSMC as the leading foundry with oligopolistic position across AI chip makers.
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Bloomberg Podcasts
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: TSM

How many hedge funds hold TSM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TSM vs. share price

Market Analysis: TSM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TSM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TSM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
TSM
-7.8%
XLK
+2.4%

TSM outperformed XLK by -10.2% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
TSM
+3.5%
XLK
+2.7%

Since the filing became public, TSM outperformed XLK by +0.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

93 top-rated funds 256 high-conviction
Consensus
8.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
8.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TSM
4K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TSM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 3548 3262 8.77%
13F Shares 907M 873M 3.96%
Total Value $420.49B $281.70B 49.27%
New Positions 471 356 +115
Increased Positions 1439 1307 +132
Closed Positions 169 179 -10
Reduced Positions 1279 1226 +53
Total Calls 88 77 14.29%
Total Puts 85 84 1.19%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.97 1.09 Neutral

Statistics: TSM

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

4K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TSM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TSM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Eurizon Asset Management Slovakia, sprav. spol., a.s. 68.48% 5,745 $2.7M
2 HCEP Management Ltd 63.70% 81,800 $39.1M
3 Yong Rong (HK) Asset Management Ltd 62.40% 155,000 $74.0M
4 Noked Israel Ltd 40.65% 825,650 $394.3M
5 Marcho Partners LLP 34.92% 128,571 $61.4M
6 KEYWISE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (HK) Ltd 34.40% 528,600 $252.4M
7 Himension Capital (singapore) PTE. LTD. 32.50% 1,109,430 $529.8M
8 BlueSpruce Investments, LP 31.91% 434,582 $207.5M
9 Twin Peaks Capital Ltd 29.13% 135,770 $41.3M
10 Lansdowne Partners (uk) LLP 29.00% 1,475,803 $704.8M
11 Coalescence Partners Investment Management, LP 26.90% 191,834 $91.6M
12 Crow's Nest Holdings LP 26.72% 185,000 $88.4M
13 Prime Capital Management Co Ltd 25.32% 663,808 $317.0M
14 Perseverance Asset Management International 24.32% 498,500 $238.1M
15 Trinity Street Asset Management LLP 22.89% 930,851 $444.5M
16 Stockbridge Partners LLC 20.83% 2,072,924 $990.0M
17 Charles-Lim Capital Ltd 20.19% 135,000 $64.5M
18 Headwater Capital Co Ltd 20.04% 210,000 $100.3M
19 Joho Capital LLC 19.72% 190,100 $90.8M
20 Tairen Capital Ltd 19.10% 452,800 $216.2M
21 Monolith Management Ltd 19.08% 88,450 $42.2M
22 Nipun Capital, L.P. 18.98% 85,280 $40.7M
23 HughesLittle Investment Management Ltd. 18.80% 227,114 $108.5M
24 Grafton Street Partners Management Company, LLC 18.17% 68,899 $32.9M
25 H Squared Management LP 17.68% 57,819 $27.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TSM?

Buying streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TSM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TSM?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 1,981 funds bought or added vs 1,490 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TSM holders?

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds: 70 of 3578 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in TSM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TSM?

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,814 out of 3,594 hedge funds have held TSM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TSM has moved +3.5% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +2.7% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.8%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), TSM has gained -7.8% vs +2.4% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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