Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM)

3K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TSM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +173
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — TSM

Based on 3253 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TSM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
3,253 hedge funds hold TSM right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +37% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+874 new funds entered over the past year (+37% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

1690 buying1451 selling
Last quarter: 1,690 funds bought or added vs 1,451 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-133 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 382 → 334 → 485 → 352. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 51% conviction (2yr+) ■ 27% medium ■ 22% new
1,665 out of 3,253 hedge funds have held TSM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

253 → 382 → 334 → 485 → 352 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 382 → 334 → 485 → 352. A growing number of institutions are discovering TSM each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 54% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 54% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 28% new
Of 3,402 current holders: 1,832 (54%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
67 of 3253 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in TSM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TSM

In 2026 Q1, 1690 hedge funds were net buyers of TSM (352 opened a new position, 1338 added to an existing one), while 1451 reduced or exited (1272 trimmed, 179 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 54% of total institutional value in TSM is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +173 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 3253.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TSM

How many hedge funds hold TSM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TSM vs. share price

Market Analysis: TSM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TSM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TSM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
TSM
+25.4%
XLK
+39.1%

TSM outperformed XLK by -13.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
TSM
+5.1%
XLK
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, TSM outperformed XLK by +0.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

142 top-rated funds 250 high-conviction
Consensus
9.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
8.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TSM
3K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TSM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 3218 3080 4.48%
13F Shares 871M 901M -3.32%
Total Value $278.77B $270.02B 3.24%
New Positions 339 485 -146
Increased Positions 1295 1175 +120
Closed Positions 201 161 +40
Reduced Positions 1212 1069 +143
Total Calls 76 64 18.75%
Total Puts 83 70 18.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.09 1.09 Neutral

Statistics: TSM

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Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

3K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TSM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TSM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Eurizon Asset Management Slovakia, sprav. spol., a.s. 57.06% 5,745 $1.9M
2 KEYWISE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT (HK) Ltd 33.87% 631,430 $213.4M
3 HCEP Management Ltd 33.28% 79,440 $26.8M
4 Marcho Partners LLP 29.88% 109,498 $37.0M
5 Himension Capital (singapore) PTE. LTD. 29.58% 1,139,251 $385.0M
6 Coalescence Partners Investment Management, LP 25.69% 351,591 $118.8M
7 Prime Capital Management Co Ltd 25.18% 663,808 $224.3M
8 Lansdowne Partners (uk) LLP 24.19% 1,335,686 $451.4M
9 7g Capital Management, LLC 21.73% 110,000 $33.4M
10 Trinity Street Asset Management LLP 20.86% 900,011 $304.2M
11 Clean Energy Transition LLP 20.67% 940,000 $317.7M
12 M37 Management LP 20.20% 150,000 $50.7M
13 TOMS Capital Investment Management LP 19.84% 2,239,400 $756.8M
14 Charles-Lim Capital Ltd 19.63% 175,000 $59.1M
15 Headwater Capital Co Ltd 18.26% 336,000 $113.6M
16 H Squared Management LP 18.01% 57,819 $19.5M
17 Crow's Nest Holdings LP 17.78% 225,000 $76.0M
18 Stockbridge Partners LLC 17.57% 2,151,675 $727.2M
19 Joho Capital LLC 17.22% 190,100 $64.2M
20 BlueSpruce Investments, LP 17.21% 321,496 $108.6M
21 Perseverance Asset Management International 16.60% 446,505 $150.9M
22 Linden Rose Investment LLC 16.52% 37,239 $12.6M
23 Credit Capital Investments LLC 16.38% 53,400 $18.0M
24 HughesLittle Investment Management Ltd. 15.71% 237,394 $80.2M
25 Grafton Street Partners Management Company, LLC 15.17% 75,106 $25.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TSM?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TSM than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TSM?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 1,690 funds bought or added vs 1,451 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TSM holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 67 of 3253 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in TSM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TSM?

51% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,665 out of 3,253 hedge funds have held TSM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Taiwan Semiconductor Manufac (TSM) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TSM has moved +5.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TSM has gained +25.4% vs +39.1% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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