Based on 5 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XYZY positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 42% of 2.5Y high
42% of all-time peak
Only 5 funds hold XYZY today versus a peak of 12 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 42% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 44% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
4 fewer hedge funds hold XYZY compared to a year ago (-44% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
3 buying6 selling
Last quarter: 6 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 5 → 4 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 40% entered in last year
■ 20% conviction (2yr+)
■ 40% medium
■ 40% new
Only 1 funds (20%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +44%, value +10%
Last quarter: funds added +44% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +10%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
1 → 2 → 5 → 4 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 5 → 4 → 1. XYZY is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 60% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 40% 1-2yr
■ 60% new
Of 5 current holders: 3 (60%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
0 of 5 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.