Based on 38 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XBIT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 73% of 3.0Y peak
73% of all-time peak
38 funds currently hold this stock — 73% of the 3.0-year high of 52 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 22% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
11 fewer hedge funds hold XBIT compared to a year ago (-22% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
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Heavy selling pressure — only 34% buying
13 buying25 selling
Last quarter: 25 funds sold vs only 13 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 9 → 15 → 5 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
68% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 68% conviction (2yr+)
■ 13% medium
■ 18% new
26 out of 38 hedge funds have held XBIT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
8 → 9 → 15 → 5 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 9 → 15 → 5 → 5. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 71% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 71% veterans
■ 8% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Of 38 current holders: 27 (71%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds
52% from top-100 AUM funds
16 of 38 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in XBIT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.