Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tesla Inc (TSLA)

4K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TSLA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -113
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — TSLA

Based on 4198 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSLA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
4,198 hedge funds hold TSLA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +19% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+668 new funds entered over the past year (+19% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

2322 buying1898 selling
Last quarter: 2,322 funds bought or added vs 1,898 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-324 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 368 → 433 → 573 → 249. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 23% medium ■ 15% new
2,635 out of 4,198 hedge funds have held TSLA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -7%, value -23%

Value
-22%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: funds added -7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -23%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~249 new funds/quarter

277 → 368 → 433 → 573 → 249 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 368 → 433 → 573 → 249. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 18% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 16% 1-2yr ■ 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 4,446 holders: 2,922 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 707 entered 1–2 years ago, and 817 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds

48% from top-100 AUM funds
71 of 4163 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in TSLA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TSLA

In 2026 Q1, 2322 hedge funds were net buyers of TSLA (249 opened a new position, 2073 added to an existing one), while 1898 reduced or exited (1536 trimmed, 362 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 48% of total institutional value in TSLA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -113 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 4198.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TSLA

How many hedge funds hold TSLA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TSLA vs. share price

Market Analysis: TSLA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TSLA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tesla Inc (TSLA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TSLA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
TSLA
+10.2%
XLY
+8.9%

TSLA outperformed XLY by +1.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
TSLA
-3.0%
XLY
+1.9%

Since the filing became public, TSLA outperformed XLY by -4.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

177 top-rated funds 219 high-conviction
Consensus
9.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
9.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TSLA
4K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TSLA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 4145 4310 -3.83%
13F Shares 1.87B 2.02B -7.1%
Total Value $683.89B $901.26B -24.12%
New Positions 234 573 -339
Increased Positions 1982 1845 +137
Closed Positions 399 199 +200
Reduced Positions 1439 1417 +22
Total Calls 140 152 -7.89%
Total Puts 135 139 -2.88%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.96 0.91 Neutral

Statistics: TSLA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

4K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TSLA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TSLA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Sloy Dahl & Holst, LLC 51.89% 1,016,725 $378.0M
2 Aspiring Ventures, LLC 49.46% 438,794 $163.1M
3 Halter Ferguson Financial Inc. 47.35% 580,362 $215.7M
4 Thiel Macro LLC 38.83% 65,000 $28.9M
5 Prime Capital Management Co Ltd 30.03% 719,861 $267.6M
6 Nightview Capital, LLC 28.23% 99,165 $36.9M
7 Tao Capital Management LP 26.98% 86,250 $32.1M
8 WIM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT Ltd 26.80% 243,230 $90.4M
9 Symmetry Peak Management LLC 21.77% 210,000 $78.1M
10 Qvr LLC 19.87% 1,331,300 $494.9M
11 Banque Pictet & Cie SA 19.70% 7,521,500 $2.80B
12 Tsai Capital Corp 19.54% 70,638 $26.3M
13 Banque Pictet & Cie SA 19.38% 7,400,000 $2.75B
14 Privium Fund Management B.V. 17.18% 222,000 $82.5M
15 UNICOM Systems, Inc. 17.09% 448,661 $166.8M
16 Prospect Hill Management, LLC 16.67% 100,616 $37.4M
17 Lavelle Capital LP 16.16% 70,027 $26.0M
18 Hamilton Capital Partners, LLC 15.93% 137,293 $51.0M
19 Dakota Community Bank & Trust NA 15.39% 12,235 $4.5M
20 ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP 14.80% 4,936,000 $1.83B
21 Shariaportfolio, INC. 14.77% 89,708 $33.3M
22 Q Fund Management (Hong Kong) Ltd 13.80% 32,700 $14.7M
23 Hyperion Asset Management Ltd 13.70% 1,156,020 $429.8M
24 Vienna Asset Management LLC 13.41% 46,452 $17.3M
25 Bamco Inc /Ny/ 13.39% 11,933,509 $4.44B
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tesla Inc (TSLA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TSLA?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their TSLA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for TSLA?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 2,322 funds bought or added vs 1,898 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for TSLA holders?

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds: 71 of 4163 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in TSLA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TSLA?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 2,635 out of 4,198 hedge funds have held TSLA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Tesla Inc (TSLA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TSLA has moved -3.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.9% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of -4.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), TSLA has gained +10.2% vs +8.9% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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