Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Tko Group Holdings Inc (TKO)

651 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in TKO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +19
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — TKO

Based on 660 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TKO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
660 hedge funds hold TKO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+77 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

325 buying333 selling
Last quarter: 333 funds reduced or exited vs 325 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+22 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new TKO position: 98 → 124 → 80 → 102. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 41% conviction (2yr+) ■ 34% medium ■ 25% new
269 out of 660 hedge funds have held TKO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +15%, value -4%

Value
-4%
Shares
+15%
Last quarter: funds added +15% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -4%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

130 → 98 → 124 → 80 → 102 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 98 → 124 → 80 → 102. TKO is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 42% veterans vs 33% newcomers

■ 42% veterans ■ 25% 1-2yr ■ 33% new
Entry-cohort mix of 683 holders: 289 (42%) are 2+ year veterans, 170 entered 1–2 years ago, and 224 (33%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
60 of 657 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in TKO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — TKO

In 2026 Q2, 325 hedge funds were net buyers of TKO (102 opened a new position, 223 added to an existing one), while 333 reduced or exited (250 trimmed, 83 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 54% of total institutional value in TKO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +19 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 660.

Hedge Fund Ownership: TKO

How many hedge funds hold TKO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of TKO vs. share price

Market Analysis: TKO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: TKO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Tko Group Holdings Inc (TKO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much TKO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLC) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 86d ago
TKO
-6.1%
XLC
+6.4%

TKO outperformed XLC by -12.5% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 41d ago
TKO
-5.7%
XLC
+0.9%

Since the filing became public, TKO outperformed XLC by -6.6% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 8 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: TKO
651 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in TKO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 651 641 1.56%
13F Shares 74M 77M -4.53%
Total Value $14.19B $14.91B -4.79%
New Positions 100 80 +20
Increased Positions 210 199 +11
Closed Positions 87 95 -8
Reduced Positions 243 244 -1
Total Calls 15 14 7.14%
Total Puts 11 17 -35.29%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.73 1.21 Neutral

Statistics: TKO

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

651 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in TKO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 TKO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Lindsell Train Ltd 16.07% 2,098,862 $422.5M
2 Cat Rock Capital Management LP 15.84% 339,211 $68.3M
3 Marathon Partners Equity Management, LLC 13.43% 71,500 $14.4M
4 Xn LP 13.20% 2,492,185 $501.7M
5 Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP 12.00% 1,350,367 $271.8M
6 Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. 9.84% 164,754 $33.2M
7 Triavera Capital LLC 6.68% 60,991 $12.3M
8 Sycale Advisors (NY) LLC 5.00% 80,861 $16.3M
9 Fairview Capital Investment Management, LLC 4.64% 436,501 $87.9M
10 Tremblant Capital Group 3.13% 540,968 $108.9M
11 Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP 3.08% 477,537 $96.1M
12 Clayton Partners LLC 2.66% 20,100 $4.0M
13 Cooper Investors Pty Ltd 2.55% 27,559 $5.5M
14 Munro Partners 2.49% 561,729 $113.1M
15 Barlow Wealth Partners, LLC 2.31% 110,783 $21.4M
16 Quartz Partners, LLC 2.14% 32,431 $6.5M
17 Blue Grotto Capital, LLC 2.02% 120,000 $24.2M
18 Gates Capital Management, Inc. 1.99% 411,584 $82.9M
19 Valiant Capital Management, L.P. 1.46% 180,117 $36.3M
20 Annex Advisory Services, LLC 1.44% 418,586 $84.3M
21 Soros Fund Management LLC 1.43% 578,157 $116.4M
22 Rahlfs Capital, LLC 1.42% 9,595 $1.9M
23 Ninety One UK Ltd 1.41% 3,139,948 $632.1M
24 Sandler Capital Management 1.40% 13,996 $2.8M
25 Legacy Financial Independent Advisors LLC 1.28% 13,540 $2.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Tko Group Holdings Inc (TKO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for TKO?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added TKO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for TKO?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 333 funds reduced or exited vs 325 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for TKO holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 60 of 657 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in TKO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held TKO?

41% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 269 out of 660 hedge funds have held TKO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Tko Group Holdings Inc (TKO) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, TKO has moved -5.7% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +0.9% for the XLC sector ETF — an outperformance of -6.6%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), TKO has gained -6.1% vs +6.4% for XLC. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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