Based on 53 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
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Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SAFX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
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At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
53 hedge funds hold SAFX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
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Fast accumulation — +5200% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+52 new funds entered over the past year (+5200% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
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More buyers than sellers — 75% buying
38 buying13 selling
Last quarter: 38 funds were net buyers (21 opened a brand new position + 17 added to an existing one). Only 13 were sellers (7 trimmed + 6 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
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Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 0 → 18 → 27 → 21. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
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Mostly new holders — 92% entered in last year
■ 4% conviction (2yr+)
■ 4% medium
■ 92% new
Only 2 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
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Buying through price weakness — shares +53%, value -90%
Last quarter: funds added +53% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -90%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
0 → 0 → 18 → 27 → 21 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 0 → 18 → 27 → 21. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
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Early stage — 92% of holders entered in last year
■ 8% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 92% new
Of 53 current holders: 49 (92%) entered in the past year, only 4 (8%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
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Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds
45% from top-100 AUM funds
21 of 53 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in SAFX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 7.3/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.