Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Xcf Global Inc (SAFX)

55 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in SAFX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
63%

Smart Money Signals — SAFX

Based on 56 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SAFX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
56 hedge funds hold SAFX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +5500% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+55 new funds entered over the past year (+5500% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 63% buying

33 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 33 funds were net buyers (14 opened a brand new position + 19 added to an existing one). Only 19 were sellers (7 trimmed + 12 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 18 → 28 → 21 → 14. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 88% entered in last year

■ 2% conviction (2yr+) ■ 11% medium ■ 88% new
Only 1 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Value +95% but shares only +46% — price-driven

Value
+94%
Shares
+45%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +95%, but actual share count only changed +46%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

0 → 18 → 28 → 21 → 14 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 18 → 28 → 21 → 14. SAFX is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱

Early stage — 96% of holders entered in last year

■ 4% veterans ■ 0% 1-2yr ■ 96% new
Of 56 current holders: 54 (96%) entered in the past year, only 2 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds

55% from top-100 AUM funds
23 of 56 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in SAFX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
7.2
out of 10
High Exit Risk
Exit risk score 7.2/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — SAFX

In 2026 Q1, 33 hedge funds were net buyers of SAFX (14 opened a new position, 19 added to an existing one), while 19 reduced or exited (7 trimmed, 12 sold completely) — a 63% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 4 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 55% of total institutional value in SAFX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 56.

Hedge Fund Ownership: SAFX

How many hedge funds hold SAFX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of SAFX vs. share price

Market Analysis: SAFX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: SAFX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Xcf Global Inc (SAFX) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much SAFX has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLU) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
SAFX
+13.1%
XLU
-3.1%

SAFX outperformed XLU by +16.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
SAFX
-1.5%
XLU
+89.7%

Since the filing became public, SAFX outperformed XLU by -91.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

10 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: SAFX
55 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in SAFX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 55 54 1.85%
13F Shares 13M 9M 45.71%
Total Value $5M $2M 94.6%
New Positions 13 21 -8
Increased Positions 19 17 +2
Closed Positions 12 6 +6
Reduced Positions 7 7 -
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: SAFX

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

55 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in SAFX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 SAFX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 J. Derek Lewis & Associates Inc. 0.02% 234,940 $64K
2 Entruity Wealth, LLC 0.00% 12,610 $5K
3 Abel Hall, LLC 0.00% 27,422 $10K
4 Callan Family Office, LLC 0.00% 143,796 $53K
5 Simplify Asset Management Inc. 0.00% 188,857 $69K
6 StoneX Group Inc. 0.00% 40,005 $15K
7 Sovereign Financial Group, Inc. 0.00% 10,528 $4K
8 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 36,545 $13K
9 UBS Group AG 0.00% 1,450,609 $529K
10 Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co 0.00% 689,974 $253K
11 Intech Investment Management LLC 0.00% 13,496 $5K
12 Equitable Holdings, Inc. 0.00% 25,383 $7K
13 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.00% 14,139 $5K
14 Jane Street Group, LLC 0.00% 874,462 $320K
15 Ameritas Investment Partners, Inc. 0.00% 2,950 $1K
16 Commonwealth Equity Services, LLC 0.00% 60,000 $22K
17 Deutsche Bank Ag\ 0.00% 189,577 $70K
18 Citigroup Inc 0.00% 118,974 $43K
19 New York State Common Retirement Fund 0.00% 32,900 $12K
20 BlackRock, Inc. 0.00% 2,418,531 $884K
21 Goldman Sachs Group Inc 0.00% 348,647 $127K
22 Mariner, LLC 0.00% 32,717 $12K
23 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 0.00% 1,391,135 $509K
24 Rhumbline Advisers 0.00% 40,184 $15K
25 Wellington Management Group LLP 0.00% 163,695 $60K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Xcf Global Inc (SAFX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for SAFX?

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row: For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added SAFX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for SAFX?

More buyers than sellers — 63% buying: Last quarter: 33 funds were net buyers (14 opened a brand new position + 19 added to an existing one). Only 19 were sellers (7 trimmed + 12 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for SAFX holders?

Elite ownership — 55% AUM from top-100 funds: 23 of 56 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 55% of total institutional value in SAFX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held SAFX?

Mostly new holders — 88% entered in last year: Only 1 funds (2%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Xcf Global Inc (SAFX) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, SAFX has moved -1.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +89.7% for the XLU sector ETF — an outperformance of -91.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), SAFX has gained +13.1% vs -3.1% for XLU. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →