Based on 25 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NIKL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 74% of 3.0Y peak
74% of all-time peak
25 funds currently hold this stock — 74% of the 3.0-year high of 34 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +525% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+21 new funds entered over the past year (+525% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 35% buying
9 buying17 selling
Last quarter: 17 funds sold vs only 9 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 15 → 18 → 3. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 76% entered in last year
■ 4% conviction (2yr+)
■ 20% medium
■ 76% new
Only 1 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -18%, value -33%
Last quarter: funds added -18% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -33%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~3 new funds/quarter
2 → 1 → 15 → 18 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 15 → 18 → 3. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 80% of holders entered in last year
■ 8% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 80% new
Of 25 current holders: 20 (80%) entered in the past year, only 2 (8%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 30% AUM from major funds
30% from top-100 AUM funds
7 of 25 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 30% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
6.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.