Based on 7 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their NCNA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 37% of 3.0Y high
37% of all-time peak
Only 7 funds hold NCNA today versus a peak of 19 funds at 2024 Q4 — just 37% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 42% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
5 fewer hedge funds hold NCNA compared to a year ago (-42% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 30% buying
3 buying7 selling
Last quarter: 7 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 8 → 5 → 1 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 57% entered in last year
■ 14% conviction (2yr+)
■ 29% medium
■ 57% new
Only 1 funds (14%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -68%, value -91%
Last quarter: funds added -68% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -91%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
3 → 8 → 5 → 1 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 5 → 1 → 3. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
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Mixed cohorts — 14% veterans, 29% new entrants
■ 14% veterans
■ 57% 1-2yr
■ 29% new
Of 7 current holders: 1 (14%) held 2+ years, 4 held 1–2 years, 2 (29%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆
Elite ownership — 65% AUM from top-100 funds
65% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 7 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 65% of total institutional value in NCNA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.