Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X ETF (NAIL)

37 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in NAIL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +4
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
60%

Smart Money Signals — NAIL

Based on 33 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAIL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
33 hedge funds hold NAIL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +65% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+13 new funds entered over the past year (+65% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying

24 buying16 selling
Last quarter: 24 funds were net buyers (12 opened a brand new position + 12 added to an existing one). Only 16 were sellers (8 trimmed + 8 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~12 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 11 → 1 → 12 → 12. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌

Mixed — 33% long-term, 30% new

■ 33% conviction (2yr+) ■ 36% medium ■ 30% new
Of the 33 current holders: 11 (33%) held >2 years, 12 held 1–2 years, and 10 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +10%, value -26%

Value
-26%
Shares
+9%
Last quarter: funds added +10% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -26%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

5 → 11 → 1 → 12 → 12 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 11 → 1 → 12 → 12. A growing number of institutions are discovering NAIL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 46% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 46% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 41% new
Of 39 current holders: 18 (46%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 84% AUM from top-100 funds

84% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 33 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 84% of total institutional value in NAIL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — NAIL

In 2025 Q4, 24 hedge funds were net buyers of NAIL (12 opened a new position, 12 added to an existing one), while 16 reduced or exited (8 trimmed, 8 sold completely) — a 60% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 84% of total institutional value in NAIL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +4 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 33.

Hedge Fund Ownership: NAIL

How many hedge funds hold NAIL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of NAIL vs. share price

Market Analysis: NAIL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: NAIL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: NAIL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 1 days 37 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in NAIL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 37 35 5.71%
13F Shares 3M 3M 9.65%
Total Value $141M $191M -26.03%
New Positions 12 12 -
Increased Positions 22 24 -2
Closed Positions 10 6 +4
Reduced Positions 17 17 -
Total Calls 4 5 -20.0%
Total Puts 3 4 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.8 Neutral

Statistics: NAIL

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

37 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in NAIL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 institutional holders of NAIL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Variant Private Wealth, LLC 1.13% 24,579 $933K
2 THURSTON, SPRINGER, MILLER, HERD & TITAK, INC. 0.05% 2,873 $109K
3 Covestor Ltd 0.03% 973 —
4 VestGen Advisors, LLC 0.00% 5,200 $187K
5 VestGen Advisors, LLC 0.00% 5,000 $180K
6 Strategic Investment Solutions, Inc. /IL 0.00% — $19K
7 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 0.00% 359,900 $13.7M
8 Squarepoint Ops LLC 0.00% 44,338 $1.7M
9 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 0.00% 402,100 $15.3M
10 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC 0.00% 274,100 $10.4M
11 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 0.00% 389,900 $14.8M
12 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 0.00% 308,400 $11.7M
13 NATIXIS 0.00% 10,994 $399K
14 HOLLENCREST CAPITAL MANAGEMENT 0.00% 800 $30K
15 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 1,296 $49K
16 Westend Capital Management, LLC 0.00% 82 $3K
17 HRT FINANCIAL LP 0.00% 9,305 $353K
18 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC 0.00% 11,195 $425K
19 IMC-Chicago, LLC 0.00% 38,815 $1.5M
20 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 0.00% 99,600 $3.8M
21 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 0.00% 35,960 $1.4M
22 Orion Capital Management LLC 0.00% 5 —
23 UBS Group AG 0.00% 8,296 $315K
24 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC 0.00% 1,320 $50K
25 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 0.00% 5,782 $219K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — DIREXION DAILY HOMEBUILDERS & SUPPLIES BULL 3X ETF (NAIL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for NAIL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added NAIL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for NAIL?

More buyers than sellers — 60% buying: Last quarter: 24 funds were net buyers (12 opened a brand new position + 12 added to an existing one). Only 16 were sellers (8 trimmed + 8 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for NAIL holders?

Elite ownership — 84% AUM from top-100 funds: 6 of 33 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 84% of total institutional value in NAIL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held NAIL?

Mixed — 33% long-term, 30% new: Of the 33 current holders: 11 (33%) held >2 years, 12 held 1–2 years, and 10 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.