Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Medicinova Inc (MNOV)

28 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MNOV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
40%

Smart Money Signals — MNOV

Based on 28 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MNOV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
28 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 33 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+5 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks. The peak was reached in just 2 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 40% buying

8 buying12 selling
Last quarter: 12 funds reduced or exited vs 8 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 9 → 4 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

71% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 71% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 14% new
20 out of 28 hedge funds have held MNOV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️

Saturation — most institutions already know this story

0 → 3 → 9 → 4 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 9 → 4 → 3. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 14% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 14% new
Entry-cohort mix of 28 holders: 20 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 4 entered 1–2 years ago, and 4 (14%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds

53% from top-100 AUM funds
14 of 28 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in MNOV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MNOV

In 2026 Q2, 8 hedge funds were net buyers of MNOV (3 opened a new position, 5 added to an existing one), while 12 reduced or exited (8 trimmed, 4 sold completely) — a 40% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 53% of total institutional value in MNOV is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -1 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 28.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MNOV

How many hedge funds hold MNOV — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MNOV vs. share price

Market Analysis: MNOV

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MNOV

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

3 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MNOV
28 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MNOV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 28 29 -3.45%
13F Shares 5M 5M -4.08%
Total Value $7M $7M -7.57%
New Positions 3 4 -1
Increased Positions 5 7 -2
Closed Positions 4 8 -4
Reduced Positions 8 10 -2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: MNOV

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

28 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MNOV. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 21 MNOV holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Essex Woodlands Management, Inc. 0.57% 1,105,941 $1.5M
2 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 51,479 $68K
3 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.00% 56,031 $74K
4 Renaissance Technologies LLC 0.00% 205,400 $271K
5 Citigroup Inc 0.00% 635,715 $839K
6 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 0.00% 36,157 $48K
7 Focus Partners Advisor Solutions, LLC 0.00% 10,000 $13K
8 Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co 0.00% 282,608 $373K
9 UBS Group AG 0.00% 222,200 $293K
10 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 0.00% 609,052 $804K
11 BlackRock, Inc. 0.00% 752,091 $993K
12 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.00% 13,526 $18K
13 Barclays plc 0.00% 42,806 $57K
14 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 26,752 $35K
15 Jane Street Group, LLC 0.00% 15,818 $21K
16 Bank of America Corp /de/ 0.00% 13,159 $17K
17 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.00% 2 —
18 Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co 0.00% 305 —
19 Larson Financial Group LLC 0.00% 5 —
20 Morgan Stanley 0.00% 2,000 $3K
21 Osaic Holdings, INC. 0.00% 66 —
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Medicinova Inc (MNOV)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MNOV?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their MNOV positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for MNOV?

More sellers than buyers — 40% buying: Last quarter: 12 funds reduced or exited vs 8 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for MNOV holders?

Elite ownership — 53% AUM from top-100 funds: 14 of 28 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 53% of total institutional value in MNOV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MNOV?

71% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 20 out of 28 hedge funds have held MNOV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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