Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MEDICINOVA INC (MNOV)

32 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MNOV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +8
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — MNOV

Based on 33 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MNOV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 87% of 3.0Y peak

87% of all-time peak
33 funds currently hold this stock — 87% of the 3.0-year high of 38 funds (reached 2023 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +14% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+4 new funds entered over the past year (+14% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

18 buying10 selling
Last quarter: 18 funds were net buyers (9 opened a brand new position + 9 added to an existing one). Only 10 were sellers (9 trimmed + 1 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MNOV position: 3 → 0 → 3 → 9. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

73% of holders stayed for 2+ years

73% conviction (2yr+) 12% medium 15% new
24 out of 33 hedge funds have held MNOV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +28% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+28%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +28%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~9 new funds/quarter

4 → 3 → 0 → 3 → 9 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 0 → 3 → 9. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 76% of holders stayed 2+ years

76% veterans 9% 1-2yr 15% new
Of 33 current holders: 25 (76%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds

54% from top-100 AUM funds
18 of 33 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in MNOV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MNOV

In 2025 Q4, 18 hedge funds were net buyers of MNOV (9 opened a new position, 9 added to an existing one), while 10 reduced or exited (9 trimmed, 1 sold completely) — a 64% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 54% of total institutional value in MNOV is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +8 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 33.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MNOV

How many hedge funds hold MNOV — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MNOV vs. share price

Market Analysis: MNOV

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MNOV

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

9 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MNOV
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 1 days 32 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MNOV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 32 24 33.33%
13F Shares 5M 5M 2.6%
Total Value $8M $6M 28.29%
New Positions 9 3 +6
Increased Positions 9 6 +3
Closed Positions 1 1 -
Reduced Positions 8 6 +2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: MNOV

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

32 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MNOV. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 23 institutional holders of MNOV — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Essex Woodlands Management, Inc. 0.60% 1,105,941 $1.5M
2 SBI Securities Co., Ltd. 0.00% 44,876 $61K
3 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.00% 56,031 $77K
4 RENAISSANCE TECHNOLOGIES LLC 0.00% 189,900 $260K
5 CITIGROUP INC 0.00% 635,715 $871K
6 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 0.00% 36,376 $50K
7 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 14,117 $19K
8 VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO 0.00% 280,621 $384K
9 HANTZ FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. 0.00% 4,232
10 Banque Transatlantique SA 0.00% 1,850 $3K
11 BARCLAYS PLC 0.00% 162,900 $223K
12 UBS Group AG 0.00% 222,200 $304K
13 TWO SIGMA ADVISERS, LP 0.00% 13,500 $18K
14 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 0.00% 29,809 $41K
15 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 611,039 $837K
16 BlackRock, Inc. 0.00% 705,954 $967K
17 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC 0.00% 87,085 $119K
18 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP 0.00% 43,926 $60K
19 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC 0.00% 27,824 $38K
20 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ 0.00% 34,359 $47K
21 NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO 0.00% 305
22 MORGAN STANLEY 0.00% 2,000 $3K
23 OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. 0.00% 66
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MEDICINOVA INC (MNOV)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MNOV?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MNOV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MNOV?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 18 funds were net buyers (9 opened a brand new position + 9 added to an existing one). Only 10 were sellers (9 trimmed + 1 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for MNOV holders?

Elite ownership — 54% AUM from top-100 funds: 18 of 33 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 54% of total institutional value in MNOV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MNOV?

73% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 24 out of 33 hedge funds have held MNOV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.