Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)

397 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MGY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +26
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — MGY

Based on 401 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MGY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
401 hedge funds hold MGY right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding MGY is almost the same as a year ago (-2 funds, 0% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

220 buying185 selling
Last quarter: 220 funds bought or added vs 185 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new MGY position: 46 → 35 → 60 → 75. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 60% conviction (2yr+) ■ 23% medium ■ 18% new
239 out of 401 hedge funds have held MGY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +39% but shares only +3% — price-driven

Value
+39%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +39%, but actual share count only changed +3%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

64 → 46 → 35 → 60 → 75 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 35 → 60 → 75. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 61% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 408 holders: 249 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 74 entered 1–2 years ago, and 85 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds

45% from top-100 AUM funds
54 of 400 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in MGY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — MGY

In 2026 Q1, 220 hedge funds were net buyers of MGY (75 opened a new position, 145 added to an existing one), while 185 reduced or exited (136 trimmed, 49 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 45% of total institutional value in MGY is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +26 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 401.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MGY

How many hedge funds hold MGY — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MGY vs. share price

Market Analysis: MGY

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MGY

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much MGY has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
MGY
-12.5%
XLE
-6.1%

MGY outperformed XLE by -6.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
MGY
-6.6%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, MGY outperformed XLE by -3.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

26 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MGY
397 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MGY. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 397 375 5.87%
13F Shares 203M 197M 3.11%
Total Value $5.99B $4.30B 39.37%
New Positions 73 60 +13
Increased Positions 144 126 +18
Closed Positions 51 58 -7
Reduced Positions 133 147 -14
Total Calls 5 2 150.0%
Total Puts 3 0 100%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.6 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: MGY

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

397 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MGY. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 MGY holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Ritter Alpha, LP 5.58% 8,450 $267K
2 Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC 4.91% 398,000 $12.6M
3 SIR Capital Management, L.P. 2.51% 851,094 $26.9M
4 October Effect Ltd 2.13% 58,680 $1.9M
5 Systematic Financial Management LP 2.04% 2,813,278 $88.8M
6 Albert D Mason Inc 1.27% 61,976 $2.0M
7 Mitsubishi UFJ Asset Management (UK) Ltd. 1.17% 72,000 $2.3M
8 Moody Aldrich Partners LLC 1.10% 192,627 $6.1M
9 Bosman Wealth Management, LLC 1.08% 39,039 $1.2M
10 Heartland Advisors Inc 1.02% 630,475 $19.9M
11 Phocas Financial Corp. 0.99% 199,397 $6.3M
12 Stephens Investment Management Group LLC 0.94% 2,172,120 $68.6M
13 Boston Trust Walden Corp 0.84% 3,227,906 $101.9M
14 Epoch Investment Partners, Inc. 0.82% 4,275,509 $135.0M
15 Aster Capital Management (DIFC) Ltd 0.79% 95,544 $2.4M
16 Foster Victor Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.69% 424,272 $12.1M
17 Silvercrest Asset Management Group LLC 0.61% 2,666,648 $84.2M
18 Emerald Investment Advisers, LLC 0.58% 203,524 $6.4M
19 Informed Momentum Co LLC 0.51% 139,005 $4.4M
20 Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC 0.47% 98,414 $3.1M
21 Gallacher Capital Management LLC 0.43% 35,383 $1.1M
22 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.43% 237,440 $7.5M
23 Oberweis Asset Management Inc/ 0.42% 454,466 $14.3M
24 CoreCommodity Management, LLC 0.41% 70,522 $2.2M
25 Oak Family Advisors, LLC 0.41% 45,920 $1.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MGY?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MGY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MGY?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 220 funds bought or added vs 185 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MGY holders?

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds: 54 of 400 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in MGY. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held MGY?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 239 out of 401 hedge funds have held MGY for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, MGY has moved -6.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -3.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), MGY has gained -12.5% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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