Based on 26 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their FDCF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (96% of max)
96% of all-time peak
26 hedge funds hold FDCF right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +117% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+14 new funds entered over the past year (+117% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 56% buying
14 buying11 selling
Last quarter: 14 funds bought or added vs 11 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 4 → 9 → 8 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 62% entered in last year
■ 15% conviction (2yr+)
■ 23% medium
■ 62% new
Only 4 funds (15%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~5 new funds/quarter
4 → 4 → 9 → 8 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 4 → 9 → 8 → 5. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 69% of holders entered in last year
■ 19% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 69% new
Of 26 current holders: 18 (69%) entered in the past year, only 5 (19%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 77% AUM from top-100 funds
77% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 26 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 77% of total institutional value in FDCF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
6.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 6.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.