Based on 10 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CHAU positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 56% of 3.0Y high
56% of all-time peak
Only 10 funds hold CHAU today versus a peak of 18 funds at 2025 Q1 — just 56% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉
Outflows — 44% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
8 fewer hedge funds hold CHAU compared to a year ago (-44% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
4 buying8 selling
Last quarter: 8 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 3 → 2 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
60% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 60% conviction (2yr+)
■ 30% medium
■ 10% new
6 out of 10 hedge funds have held CHAU for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
4 → 1 → 3 → 2 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 3 → 2 → 0. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 14% newcomers
■ 71% veterans
■ 14% 1-2yr
■ 14% new
Entry-cohort mix of 14 holders: 10 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 2 entered 1–2 years ago, and 2 (14%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆
Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds
46% from top-100 AUM funds
5 of 9 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in CHAU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 1.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.