Based on 22 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their CAFX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 81% of 3.0Y peak
81% of all-time peak
22 funds currently hold this stock — 81% of the 3.0-year high of 27 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶
Steady growth — +5% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+1 new funds entered over the past year (+5% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 24% buying
7 buying22 selling
Last quarter: 22 funds sold vs only 7 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~2 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 6 → 3 → 2. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 27% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 73% medium
■ 27% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
5 → 3 → 6 → 3 → 2 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 6 → 3 → 2. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
📊
Mixed cohorts — 0% veterans, 45% new entrants
■ 0% veterans
■ 55% 1-2yr
■ 45% new
Of 22 current holders: 0 (0%) held 2+ years, 12 held 1–2 years, 10 (45%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆
Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds
48% from top-100 AUM funds
5 of 22 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in CAFX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.