Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

BRIDGER AEROSPACE GRP HLDGS (BAERW)

31 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BAERW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -2
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
31%

Smart Money Signals — BAERW

Based on 31 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BAERW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 61% of 3.0Y high

61% of all-time peak
Only 31 funds hold BAERW today versus a peak of 51 funds at 2023 Q1 — just 61% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
📉

Outflows — 18% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold BAERW compared to a year ago (-18% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 31% buying

4 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 5 → 2 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 65% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 16% new
20 out of 31 hedge funds have held BAERW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -13%, value -92%

Value
-92%
Shares
-12%
Last quarter: funds added -13% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -92%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~4 new funds/quarter

3 → 2 → 5 → 2 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 5 → 2 → 4. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 71% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 71% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 16% new
Of 31 current holders: 22 (71%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 5% AUM from top-100

5% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 31 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 5% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
2.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BAERW

How many hedge funds hold BAERW — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BAERW vs. share price

Market Analysis: BAERW

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BAERW

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

3 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
2.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BAERW
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 19 days 31 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BAERW. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 31 33 -6.06%
13F Shares 9M 10M -12.73%
Total Value $2M $25M -92.13%
New Positions 4 2 +2
Increased Positions 0 0 -
Closed Positions 6 7 -1
Reduced Positions 3 5 -2
Total Calls 1 1 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: BAERW

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

31 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BAERW. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of BAERW — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Oasis Management Co Ltd. 0.01% 100,000 $183K
2 Sandia Investment Management LP 0.01% 17,690 $4K
3 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 0.01% 1,604,853 $353K
4 CANYON CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC 0.00% 175,000 $35K
5 Greenland Capital Management LP 0.00% 86,791 $17K
6 LMR Partners LLP 0.00% 2,977,952 $594K
7 Diametric Capital, LP 0.00% 17,690 $4K
8 DRIEHAUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 620,220 $124K
9 FOURSIXTHREE CAPITAL LP 0.00% 10,000 $2K
10 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 0.00% 274,854 $55K
11 Elequin Capital, LP 0.00% 47,317 $9K
12 DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 0.00% 195,399 $39K
13 Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP 0.00% 25,000 $5K
14 Clear Street Group Inc. 0.00% 471,912 $94K
15 TORONTO DOMINION BANK 0.00% 1,021,322 $225K
16 CSS LLC/IL 0.00% 36,478 $7K
17 MOORE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LP 0.00% 100,000 $20K
18 SkyView Investment Advisors, LLC 0.00% 12,500 $2K
19 Sculptor Capital LP 0.00% 96,000 $21K
20 WHITEBOX ADVISORS LLC 0.00% 41,500 $8K
21 Saba Capital Management, L.P. 0.00% 18,752 $4K
22 ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. 0.00% 183,333 $37K
23 HEALTHCARE OF ONTARIO PENSION PLAN TRUST FUND 0.00% 101,400 $20K
24 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC 0.00% 334,890 $67K
25 Calamos Advisors LLC 0.00% 25,000 $5K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — BRIDGER AEROSPACE GRP HLDGS (BAERW)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BAERW?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BAERW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for BAERW?

Heavy selling pressure — only 31% buying: Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for BAERW holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 5% AUM from top-100: 6 of 31 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 5% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BAERW?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 20 out of 31 hedge funds have held BAERW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.