Based on 4 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
➡️
No change last quarter
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
4 hedge funds hold ARMG right now — the highest count in 1.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 43% buying
3 buying4 selling
Last quarter: 4 funds reduced or exited vs 3 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 2 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 100% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 0% medium
■ 100% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +7%, value -44%
Last quarter: funds added +7% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -44%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊
Peak discovery — momentum slowing
3 → 2 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 2 → 3. ARMG is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 4 current holders: 4 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 1% AUM from top-100
1% from top-100 AUM funds
1 of 4 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 1% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 7.8/10 — multiple crowding signals converge. Institutional ownership is at 100% of its all-time high — near peak crowding. Selling pressure exceeds buying: only 43% of active funds buying. Crowded trades can unwind fast — a single catalyst can trigger a cascade.