Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Agnc Invt Corp (AGNC)

665 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AGNC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +28
Streak
10Q ▲
Buyers last Q
61%

Smart Money Signals — AGNC

Based on 672 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AGNC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
672 hedge funds hold AGNC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+116 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying

418 buying263 selling
Last quarter: 418 funds were net buyers (116 opened a brand new position + 302 added to an existing one). Only 263 were sellers (175 trimmed + 88 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AGNC position: 91 → 95 → 109 → 116. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 54% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 22% new
364 out of 672 hedge funds have held AGNC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

97 → 91 → 95 → 109 → 116 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 91 → 95 → 109 → 116. A growing number of institutions are discovering AGNC each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 63% veterans ■ 13% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 711 holders: 445 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 93 entered 1–2 years ago, and 173 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds

37% from top-100 AUM funds
50 of 665 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AGNC

In 2026 Q1, 418 hedge funds were net buyers of AGNC (116 opened a new position, 302 added to an existing one), while 263 reduced or exited (175 trimmed, 88 sold completely) — a 61% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 10 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 37% of total institutional value in AGNC is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +28 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 672.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AGNC

How many hedge funds hold AGNC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AGNC vs. share price

Market Analysis: AGNC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AGNC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Agnc Invt Corp (AGNC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AGNC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
AGNC
+3.5%
XLRE
+7.7%

AGNC outperformed XLRE by -4.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
AGNC
+1.5%
XLRE
+1.7%

Since the filing became public, AGNC outperformed XLRE by -0.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

34 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
6.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AGNC
665 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AGNC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 665 644 3.26%
13F Shares 464M 450M 3.05%
Total Value $4.55B $5.09B -10.49%
New Positions 115 109 +6
Increased Positions 297 277 +20
Closed Positions 94 58 +36
Reduced Positions 162 156 +6
Total Calls 22 17 29.41%
Total Puts 24 16 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.09 0.94 Neutral

Statistics: AGNC

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

665 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AGNC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AGNC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Penn Mutual Asset Management 18.50% 360,000 $3.6M
2 Dupree Financial Group, LLC 5.63% 1,393,804 $14.0M
3 Osbon Capital Management LLC 2.59% 316,178 $3.2M
4 Sullivan Wood Capital Management LLC 2.03% 114,400 $1.2M
5 Fwl Investment Management, LLC 2.03% 922,577 $9.3M
6 Equity Investment Corp 1.90% 9,694,264 $97.2M
7 King Street Capital Management, L.P. 1.88% 615,000 $6.2M
8 LFG Wealth Partners, LLC 1.81% 299,242 $3.0M
9 Davidson Investment Advisors 1.62% 3,428,281 $32.8M
10 GraniteShares Advisors LLC 1.62% 224,160 $2.2M
11 Icon Advisers Inc/Co 1.40% 604,131 $6.1M
12 Beck Capital Management, LLC 1.39% 606,866 $6.1M
13 Slagle Financial, LLC 1.21% 365,966 $3.7M
14 Brevan Howard Capital Management LP 0.84% 9,524,200 $95.5M
15 Fortitude Financial, LLC 0.84% 157,695 $1.6M
16 Bayesian Capital Management, LP 0.79% 64,600 $648K
17 Vision Financial Markets LLC 0.75% 76,300 $765K
18 Collar Capital Management, LLC 0.74% 114,460 $1.1M
19 Wiregrass Investment Management LLC 0.74% 88,794 $891K
20 Innova Wealth Partners 0.70% 148,022 $1.5M
21 Dark Forest Capital Management LP 0.63% 702,095 $7.0M
22 Significant Wealth Partners LLC 0.59% 47,929 $481K
23 Cornerstone Select Advisors, LLC 0.57% 90,859 $911K
24 Fieldview Capital Management, LLC 0.55% 187,686 $1.9M
25 Farringdon Capital, Ltd. 0.51% 230,481 $2.3M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Agnc Invt Corp (AGNC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AGNC?

Buying streak — 10 quarters in a row: For 10 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AGNC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AGNC?

More buyers than sellers — 61% buying: Last quarter: 418 funds were net buyers (116 opened a brand new position + 302 added to an existing one). Only 263 were sellers (175 trimmed + 88 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for AGNC holders?

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds: 50 of 665 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AGNC?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 364 out of 672 hedge funds have held AGNC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Agnc Invt Corp (AGNC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AGNC has moved +1.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.7% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of -0.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AGNC has gained +3.5% vs +7.7% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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