Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Xpo Inc (XPO)

669 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in XPO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +85
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — XPO

Based on 671 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added XPO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
671 hedge funds hold XPO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +29% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+149 new funds entered over the past year (+29% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

361 buying264 selling
Last quarter: 361 funds bought or added vs 264 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+36 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new XPO position: 76 → 63 → 98 → 134. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 58% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 22% new
391 out of 671 hedge funds have held XPO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+25% value, -7% shares)

Value
+25%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: total value of institutional XPO holdings rose +25% even though funds reduced share count by 7%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

73 → 76 → 63 → 98 → 134 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 76 → 63 → 98 → 134. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 65% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 65% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Of 700 current holders: 452 (65%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds

45% from top-100 AUM funds
60 of 671 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in XPO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — XPO

In 2026 Q1, 361 hedge funds were net buyers of XPO (134 opened a new position, 227 added to an existing one), while 264 reduced or exited (215 trimmed, 49 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 45% of total institutional value in XPO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +85 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 671.

Hedge Fund Ownership: XPO

How many hedge funds hold XPO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of XPO vs. share price

Market Analysis: XPO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: XPO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Xpo Inc (XPO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much XPO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
XPO
+10.1%
XLI
+10.5%

XPO outperformed XLI by -0.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
XPO
+4.9%
XLI
+4.2%

Since the filing became public, XPO outperformed XLI by +0.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

46 top-rated funds 8 high-conviction
Consensus
7.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: XPO
669 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in XPO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 669 586 14.16%
13F Shares 116M 127M -7.98%
Total Value $21.35B $17.16B 24.45%
New Positions 133 98 +35
Increased Positions 220 195 +25
Closed Positions 50 45 +5
Reduced Positions 208 183 +25
Total Calls 18 17 5.88%
Total Puts 17 17 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.94 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: XPO

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

669 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in XPO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 XPO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 MFN Partners Management, LP 46.55% 11,425,369 $2.22B
2 One Madison Group LLC 7.57% 336,700 $65.5M
3 Cercano Management LLC 6.35% 756,536 $147.2M
4 Lagoda Investment Management, L.P. 5.96% 49,700 $9.7M
5 Durable Capital Partners LP 5.88% 2,935,934 $571.2M
6 Agman Capital LLC 5.41% 34,960 $6.8M
7 Fishman Jay A Ltd/Mi 4.94% 284,261 $55.3M
8 Findlay Park Partners LLP 3.22% 1,189,000 $231.3M
9 Orbis Allan Gray Ltd 2.80% 3,409,092 $663.2M
10 4D Advisors, LLC 2.47% 20,000 $3.9M
11 Rice Hall James & Associates, LLC 2.43% 224,299 $43.6M
12 Hood River Capital Management LLC 2.26% 1,159,830 $225.6M
13 D1 Capital Partners L.P. 2.23% 1,287,630 $250.5M
14 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 2.03% 320,242 $62.3M
15 Formula Growth Ltd 2.02% 23,000 $4.5M
16 Tritonpoint Wealth, LLC 1.98% 95,172 $18.5M
17 Game Creek Capital, LP 1.92% 29,600 $5.8M
18 Arnhold LLC 1.87% 131,100 $25.5M
19 Groupama Asset Managment 1.86% 653,083 $127.1M
20 Redmond Asset Management, LLC 1.84% 34,682 $6.7M
21 Retireful, LLC 1.57% 5,736 $1.1M
22 CTC Alternative Strategies, Ltd. 1.55% 3,500 $681K
23 Jag Capital Management, LLC 1.43% 65,301 $12.7M
24 Greenstone Partners & Co., LLC 1.36% 27,715 $5.4M
25 Frontier Capital Management Co LLC 1.30% 652,073 $126.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Xpo Inc (XPO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for XPO?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added XPO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for XPO?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 361 funds bought or added vs 264 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for XPO holders?

Elite ownership — 45% AUM from top-100 funds: 60 of 671 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 45% of total institutional value in XPO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held XPO?

58% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 391 out of 671 hedge funds have held XPO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Xpo Inc (XPO) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, XPO has moved +4.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.2% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), XPO has gained +10.1% vs +10.5% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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