MDGL β€” MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC

Ownership history in PAULSON & CO. INC.  Β·  11 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which PAULSON & CO. INC. reported a position in MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC (MDGL). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
39.81% (2025 Q1)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
27.77%
πŸ“… First filed
2023 Q2
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q4
⏱ Quarters held
11

Position Intelligence

PAULSON & CO. INC. Γ— MDGL AI Analytics

πŸ“ˆ PAULSON & CO. INC. outperformed the S&P 500 by +36.7% annually on this MDGL position. Timing score: 44% (4/9 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $239.32. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –36.8%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
+36.7%
annualised excess return

πŸ”₯ Exceptional β€” beat the S&P 500 by 36.7% per year on this position.
10 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
44%

⚠️ Poor timing β€” buys often preceded drops, trims preceded rallies.
4 of 9 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$239.32
+143.3% vs current ($582.34)

Best entry: $146.04 (2023 Q3)  Β·  Worst: $331.23 (2025 Q1)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–36.8%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 2 major drawdowns (>20%).

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
70%
buy-side decisions

7 adds Β· 3 trims. Bought during 2 of 3 down-price quarters. πŸ‚ Consistently bullish β€” fund kept accumulating this position.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
↓ Shrinking
last 4–5 quarters trend

πŸ“‰ Portfolio weight has been declining in recent quarters. Possible distribution phase.
Currently 30.48% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    MDGL price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 10 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q4 REDUCED 1,707,522 -200,001 -10.5% 30.48% $994.4M $582.34
2025 Q3 REDUCED 1,907,523 -182,000 -8.7% 29.46% $874.9M $458.66
2025 Q2 REDUCED 2,089,523 -10,000 -0.5% 31.44% $632.4M $302.64
2025 Q1 ADDED 2,099,523 +57,523 +2.8% 39.81% $695.4M $331.23
2024 Q4 UNCHANGED 2,042,000 β€” 0% 38.14% $630.1M $308.57
2024 Q3 ADDED 2,042,000 +192,000 +10.4% 27.55% $392.6M $212.22
2024 Q2 ADDED 1,850,000 +75,000 +4.2% 38.31% $518.3M $280.16
2024 Q1 ADDED 1,775,000 +669,259 +60.5% 32.74% $474.0M $267.04
2023 Q4 ADDED 1,105,741 +605,741 +121.1% 23.09% $255.8M $231.38
2023 Q3 ADDED 500,000 +149,800 +42.8% 6.53% $73.0M $146.04
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