Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC (MDGL)

396 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in MDGL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +39
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — MDGL

Based on 373 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MDGL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
373 hedge funds hold MDGL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +35% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+97 new funds entered over the past year (+35% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

219 buying158 selling
Last quarter: 219 funds bought or added vs 158 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~82 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 66 → 39 → 80 → 82. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

46% of holders stayed for 2+ years

46% conviction (2yr+) 26% medium 28% new
172 out of 373 hedge funds have held MDGL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+27% value, -0% shares)

Value
+27%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: total value of institutional MDGL holdings rose +27% even though funds reduced share count by 0%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

63 → 66 → 39 → 80 → 82 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 66 → 39 → 80 → 82. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years

55% veterans 14% 1-2yr 31% new
Of 396 current holders: 216 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.

Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds

34% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 373 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: MDGL

How many hedge funds hold MDGL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of MDGL vs. share price

Market Analysis: MDGL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: MDGL

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

58 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
7.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: MDGL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 19 days 396 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in MDGL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 396 358 10.61%
13F Shares 24M 24M -0.17%
Total Value $14.01B $11.04B 26.95%
New Positions 84 81 +3
Increased Positions 156 149 +7
Closed Positions 47 43 +4
Reduced Positions 161 132 +29
Total Calls 13 16 -18.75%
Total Puts 14 14 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.08 0.88 Neutral

Statistics: MDGL

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

396 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in MDGL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of MDGL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Cannon Global Investment Management, LLC 2.04% 2,000 $1.0M
2 Cannon Global Investment Management, LLC 0.82% 800 $419K
3 SHIKIAR ASSET MANAGEMENT INC 0.60% 4,000 $2K
4 MOODY ALDRICH PARTNERS LLC 0.36% 3,829 $2.0M
5 Verity Asset Management, Inc. 0.26% 1,164 $609K
6 Candriam S.C.A. 0.23% 84,948 $44.5M
7 PSP Research LLC 0.22% 600 $314K
8 China Universal Asset Management Co., Ltd. 0.17% 4,271 $2.2M
9 JOURNEY STRATEGIC WEALTH LLC 0.17% 12,829 $6.7M
10 Strid Group, LLC 0.16% 2,500 $1.3M
11 Seelaus Asset Management LLC 0.16% 422 $221K
12 Abel Hall, LLC 0.14% 1,271 $665K
13 TOTH FINANCIAL ADVISORY CORP 0.11% 2,000 $1.0M
14 Pictet Asset Management Holding SA 0.10% 187,240 $97.9M
15 PROFUND ADVISORS LLC 0.09% 4,862 $2.5M
16 AMI ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP 0.09% 2,613 $1.4M
17 NJ State Employees Deferred Compensation Plan 0.08% 1,500 $688K
18 TEMA ETFS LLC 0.05% 1,551 $812K
19 Kozak & Associates, Inc. 0.04% 424 $223K
20 GREENWOOD CAPITAL ASSOCIATES LLC 0.04% 682 $357K
21 James J. Burns & Company, LLC 0.04% 532 $278K
22 E Fund Management Co., Ltd. 0.02% 1,347 $705K
23 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.02% 4,642 $2.4M
24 Everhart Financial Group, Inc. 0.02% 459 $240K
25 PRAXIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 0.02% 540
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — MADRIGAL PHARMACEUTICALS INC (MDGL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for MDGL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added MDGL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for MDGL?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 219 funds bought or added vs 158 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for MDGL holders?

Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds: 40 of 373 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held MDGL?

46% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 172 out of 373 hedge funds have held MDGL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.