TOL β€” Toll Brothers Inc.

Ownership history in LEUTHOLD GROUP, LLC  Β·  34 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which LEUTHOLD GROUP, LLC reported a position in Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
1.24% (2024 Q3)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.72%
πŸ“… First filed
2017 Q2
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
34

Position Intelligence

LEUTHOLD GROUP, LLC Γ— TOL AI Analytics

πŸ“ˆ LEUTHOLD GROUP, LLC outperformed the S&P 500 by +12.5% annually on this TOL position. Timing score: 42% (14/33 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $35.82. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –58.9%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
+12.5%
annualised excess return

πŸ”₯ Exceptional β€” beat the S&P 500 by 12.5% per year on this position.
33 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
42%

⚠️ Poor timing β€” buys often preceded drops, trims preceded rallies.
14 of 33 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$35.82
+284.2% vs current ($137.62)

Best entry: $33.82 (2018 Q2)  Β·  Worst: $52.63 (2021 Q3)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–58.9%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 3 major drawdowns (>20%). Diamond-hands conviction.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
12%
buy-side decisions

4 adds Β· 30 trims. Bought during 2 of 14 down-price quarters. πŸ“‰ Predominantly trimming β€” distribution phase.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
↓ Shrinking
last 4–5 quarters trend

πŸ“‰ Portfolio weight has been declining in recent quarters. Possible distribution phase.
Currently 0.82% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    TOL price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 10 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 REDUCED 54,057 -82 -0.2% 0.82% $7.5M $137.62
2025 Q2 REDUCED 54,139 -4,592 -7.8% 0.74% $6.2M $113.47
2025 Q1 REDUCED 58,731 -8,112 -12.1% 0.81% $6.2M $104.69
2024 Q4 REDUCED 66,843 -5,450 -7.5% 1.01% $8.4M $124.65
2024 Q3 REDUCED 72,293 -4,187 -5.5% 1.24% $11.2M $152.66
2024 Q2 REDUCED 76,480 -718 -0.9% 1.02% $8.8M $113.59
2024 Q1 REDUCED 77,198 -464 -0.6% 1.12% $10.0M $127.35
2023 Q4 REDUCED 77,662 -114 -0.1% 1.00% $8.0M $100.98
2023 Q3 REDUCED 77,776 -1,415 -1.8% 0.81% $5.8M $72.44
2023 Q2 REDUCED 79,191 -2,606 -3.2% 0.81% $6.3M $77.24
24 older quarters hidden  β€”  Sign in free or upgrade to Premium to see full history
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