Based on 690 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added TOL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
690 hedge funds hold TOL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding TOL is almost the same as a year ago (+22 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 49% buying
336 buying353 selling
Last quarter: 353 funds reduced or exited vs 336 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-23 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 91 → 108 → 129 → 106. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒
58% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 58% conviction (2yr+)
■ 24% medium
■ 18% new
401 out of 690 hedge funds have held TOL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
91 → 91 → 108 → 129 → 106 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 91 → 108 → 129 → 106. A growing number of institutions are discovering TOL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 63% veterans
■ 16% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Of 722 current holders: 453 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 50% AUM from top-100 funds
50% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 690 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 50% of total institutional value in TOL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.