SAIA β€” SAIA INC

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  7 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in SAIA INC (SAIA). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.34% (2025 Q3)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.13%
πŸ“… First filed
2016 Q4
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
7

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— SAIA AI Analytics

πŸ“ˆ Bayesian Capital Management, LP outperformed the S&P 500 by +28.4% annually on this SAIA position. Timing score: 60% (3/5 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $239.85. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –53.2%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
+28.4%
annualised excess return

πŸ”₯ Exceptional β€” beat the S&P 500 by 28.4% per year on this position.
5 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
60%

βœ… Decent timing β€” more right than wrong on entries and exits.
3 of 5 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$239.85
+24.8% vs current ($299.36)

Best entry: $188.00 (2022 Q2)  Β·  Worst: $299.36 (2025 Q3)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–53.2%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 2 major drawdowns (>20%).

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
43%
buy-side decisions

3 adds Β· 4 trims. Bought during 1 of 2 down-price quarters. πŸ“‰ Predominantly trimming β€” distribution phase.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.34% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    SAIA price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 7 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 ADDED 5,519 +4,705 +578.0% 0.34% $1.7M $299.36
2025 Q2 REDUCED 814 -729 -47.2% 0.04% $223K $273.99
2024 Q1 REDUCED 1,543 -2,126 -57.9% 0.09% $903K $585.00
2023 Q2 REDUCED 3,669 -2,831 -43.6% 0.13% $1.3M $342.41
2022 Q2 ADDED 6,500 +5,400 +490.9% 0.23% $1.2M $188.00
2022 Q1 REDUCED 1,100 -4,500 -80.4% 0.04% $268K $243.82
2016 Q4 INITIATED 5,600 β€” β€” 0.06% $247K β€”

🏒 Other funds also holding SAIA

As of 2025 Q4 β€” sorted by position size

Ranger Investment Management, L.P. 3Y 7Y 1.81% Running Oak Capital LLC 3Y 1.66% LRT Capital Management, LLC 3Y 1.45% WASATCH ADVISORS LP 3Y 7Y 1.42% Pier Capital, LLC 3Y 7Y 1.37% Junto Capital Management LP 3Y 7Y 1.26% ZWJ INVESTMENT COUNSEL INC 3Y 7Y 1.21% Anomaly Capital Management, LP 3Y 1.01% Alight Capital Management LP 3Y 7Y 1.0% KAYNE ANDERSON RUDNICK INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 3Y 7Y 0.96%
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