Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF)

158 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in YPF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +36
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — YPF

Based on 159 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added YPF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
159 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 186 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
7 fewer hedge funds hold YPF compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

107 buying61 selling
Last quarter: 107 funds were net buyers (57 opened a brand new position + 50 added to an existing one). Only 61 were sellers (40 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+30 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new YPF position: 23 → 20 → 27 → 57. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

48% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 48% conviction (2yr+) ■ 29% medium ■ 23% new
76 out of 159 hedge funds have held YPF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +55% but shares only +18% — price-driven

Value
+54%
Shares
+18%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +55%, but actual share count only changed +18%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

26 → 23 → 20 → 27 → 57 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 23 → 20 → 27 → 57. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 63% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 63% veterans ■ 16% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 183 holders: 115 (63%) are 2+ year veterans, 30 entered 1–2 years ago, and 38 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds

20% from top-100 AUM funds
24 of 148 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — YPF

In 2026 Q1, 107 hedge funds were net buyers of YPF (57 opened a new position, 50 added to an existing one), while 61 reduced or exited (40 trimmed, 21 sold completely) — a 64% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. 20% of total institutional value in YPF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +36 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 159.

Hedge Fund Ownership: YPF

How many hedge funds hold YPF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of YPF vs. share price

Market Analysis: YPF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: YPF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much YPF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 81d ago
YPF
+9.2%
XLE
-12.2%

YPF outperformed XLE by +21.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 36d ago
YPF
+15.6%
XLE
-9.5%

Since the filing became public, YPF outperformed XLE by +25.1% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: YPF
158 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in YPF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 158 123 28.46%
13F Shares 52M 44M 17.91%
Total Value $2.25B $1.45B 54.66%
New Positions 56 27 +29
Increased Positions 44 32 +12
Closed Positions 21 29 -8
Reduced Positions 33 43 -10
Total Calls 18 16 12.5%
Total Puts 16 16 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.89 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: YPF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

158 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in YPF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 YPF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Aquamarine Financial (Cayman) Ltd 30.55% 9,026,675 $417.2M
2 Ping Capital Management, INC. 18.18% 1,378,200 $63.7M
3 VR Advisory Services Ltd 17.68% 3,231,396 $149.4M
4 North of South Capital LLP 14.63% 3,524,252 $162.9M
5 Oaktree Fund Advisors, LLC 8.82% 108,600 $5.0M
6 Equinox Partners Investment Management LLC 8.80% 467,000 $21.6M
7 TT International Asset Management LTD 6.51% 1,289,597 $59.6M
8 Fourth Sail Capital LP 2.76% 363,690 $16.8M
9 Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda 2.24% 257,612 $11.9M
10 Globeflex Capital L P 1.55% 221,544 $10.2M
11 Masters Capital Management LLC 1.53% 1,000,000 $46.2M
12 Alpine Global Management, LLC 1.41% 204,000 $9.4M
13 Wexford Capital LP 1.37% 204,781 $9.5M
14 Discovery Capital Management, LLC / Ct 1.29% 538,192 $24.9M
15 Barometer Capital Management INC. 1.19% 75,100 $3.5M
16 Chesapeake Asset Management LLC 0.99% 26,880 $1.2M
17 Pickering Energy Partners LP 0.98% 10,000 $462K
18 First Growth Capital LLC 0.74% 18,587 $824K
19 HITE Hedge Asset Management LLC 0.72% 277,192 $12.8M
20 Oaktree Capital Management LP 0.65% 886,465 $41.0M
21 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.63% 73,719 $3.4M
22 Steadtrust LLC 0.52% 20,000 $924K
23 LWM Advisory Services, LLC 0.47% 9,579 $443K
24 Activest Wealth Management 0.39% 47,608 $2.2M
25 Quattro Financial Advisors LLC 0.35% 25,000 $1.2M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for YPF?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added YPF than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for YPF?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 107 funds were net buyers (57 opened a brand new position + 50 added to an existing one). Only 61 were sellers (40 trimmed + 21 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for YPF holders?

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds: 24 of 148 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held YPF?

48% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 76 out of 159 hedge funds have held YPF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Ypf Sociedad Anonima (YPF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, YPF has moved +15.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -9.5% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of +25.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), YPF has gained +9.2% vs -12.2% for XLE. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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