Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Innovator Etfs Trust (XTOC)

20 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in XTOC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
24%

Smart Money Signals — XTOC

Based on 20 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XTOC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 83% of 3.0Y peak

83% of all-time peak
20 funds currently hold this stock — 83% of the 3.0-year high of 24 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +25% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+4 new funds entered over the past year (+25% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 24% buying

4 buying13 selling
Last quarter: 13 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 1 → 5 → 12 → 1. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 30% long-term, 40% new

30% conviction (2yr+) 30% medium 40% new
Of the 20 current holders: 6 (30%) held >2 years, 6 held 1–2 years, and 8 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~1 new funds/quarter

1 → 1 → 5 → 12 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 1 → 5 → 12 → 1. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 35% veterans, 45% new entrants

35% veterans 20% 1-2yr 45% new
Of 20 current holders: 7 (35%) held 2+ years, 4 held 1–2 years, 9 (45%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 10% AUM from top-100

10% from top-100 AUM funds
3 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 10% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
5.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — XTOC

In 2026 Q1, 4 hedge funds were net buyers of XTOC (1 opened a new position, 3 added to an existing one), while 13 reduced or exited (8 trimmed, 5 sold completely) — a 24% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net fund flow last quarter: -4 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 20.

Hedge Fund Ownership: XTOC

How many hedge funds hold XTOC — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of XTOC vs. share price

Market Analysis: XTOC

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: XTOC

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Innovator Etfs Trust (XTOC) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much XTOC has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 81d ago
XTOC
nan%
SPY
+15.1%

XTOC outperformed SPY by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 36d ago
XTOC
nan%
SPY
+1.3%

Since the filing became public, XTOC outperformed SPY by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

1 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
1.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: XTOC
20 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in XTOC. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 20 24 -16.67%
13F Shares 224K 312K -28.19%
Total Value $7M $10M -30.03%
New Positions 1 12 -11
Increased Positions 3 2 +1
Closed Positions 5 5 -
Reduced Positions 8 6 +2
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: XTOC

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

20 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in XTOC. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 18 XTOC holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Welch Financial Planning, LLC 1.09% 46,990 $1.5M
2 Millington Financial Advisors, LLC 0.51% 34,923 $1.2M
3 First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ 0.12% 22,605 $732K
4 Sunbelt Securities, Inc. 0.05% 23,231 $752K
5 Garden State Investment Advisory Services LLC 0.05% 6,615 $214K
6 Blue Bell Private Wealth Management, LLC 0.01% 2,700 $87K
7 Pinnacle Wealth Planning Services, Inc. 0.01% 2,140 $69K
8 Foundations Investment Advisors, LLC 0.00% 9,396 $304K
9 Arax Advisory Partners 0.00% 1,796 $58K
10 Osaic Holdings, INC. 0.00% 27,353 $886K
11 HighTower Advisors, LLC 0.00% 8,370 $271K
12 Steward Partners Investment Advisory, LLC 0.00% 1,684 $55K
13 Susquehanna International Group, LLP 0.00% 19,438 $629K
14 CoreCap Advisors, LLC 0.00% 22
15 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 10
16 Barclays plc 0.00% 494 $16K
17 Allworth Financial LP 0.00% 19
18 Morgan Stanley 0.00% 190 $6K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Innovator Etfs Trust (XTOC)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for XTOC?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XTOC positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for XTOC?

Heavy selling pressure — only 24% buying: Last quarter: 13 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for XTOC holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 10% AUM from top-100: 3 of 20 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 10% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held XTOC?

Mixed — 30% long-term, 40% new: Of the 20 current holders: 6 (30%) held >2 years, 6 held 1–2 years, and 8 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Innovator Etfs Trust (XTOC) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, XTOC has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), XTOC has gained nan% vs +15.1% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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