Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)

113 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in XPOF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
46%

Smart Money Signals — XPOF

Based on 114 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
📊

High ownership — 86% of 3.0Y peak

86% of all-time peak
114 funds currently hold this stock — 86% of the 3.0-year high of 133 funds (reached 2023 Q3). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 10% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
13 fewer hedge funds hold XPOF compared to a year ago (-10% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying

51 buying60 selling
Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 51 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~19 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 23 → 24 → 21 → 19. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

42% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 42% conviction (2yr+) ■ 33% medium ■ 25% new
48 out of 114 hedge funds have held XPOF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +21%, value -24%

Value
-24%
Shares
+20%
Last quarter: funds added +21% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -24%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~19 new funds/quarter

27 → 23 → 24 → 21 → 19 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 23 → 24 → 21 → 19. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 50% veterans vs 33% newcomers

■ 50% veterans ■ 16% 1-2yr ■ 33% new
Entry-cohort mix of 117 holders: 59 (50%) are 2+ year veterans, 19 entered 1–2 years ago, and 39 (33%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100

16% from top-100 AUM funds
30 of 111 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — XPOF

In 2026 Q1, 51 hedge funds were net buyers of XPOF (19 opened a new position, 32 added to an existing one), while 60 reduced or exited (41 trimmed, 19 sold completely) — a 46% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 114.

Hedge Fund Ownership: XPOF

How many hedge funds hold XPOF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of XPOF vs. share price

Market Analysis: XPOF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: XPOF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much XPOF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 83d ago
XPOF
+13.5%
XLY
+7.5%

XPOF outperformed XLY by +6.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 38d ago
XPOF
+42.6%
XLY
+0.5%

Since the filing became public, XPOF outperformed XLY by +42.1% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: XPOF
113 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in XPOF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 113 114 -0.88%
13F Shares 37M 30M 20.88%
Total Value $189M $249M -24.06%
New Positions 18 21 -3
Increased Positions 30 34 -4
Closed Positions 19 30 -11
Reduced Positions 40 40 -
Total Calls 5 6 -16.67%
Total Puts 1 3 -66.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.2 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: XPOF

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

113 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in XPOF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 XPOF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 MSD Partners, L.P. 12.10% 1,655,390 $10.0M
2 Grizzlyrock Capital, LLC 4.74% 994,580 $6.0M
3 Caspian Capital LP 2.64% 450,355 $2.7M
4 Voss Capital, LP 2.06% 6,458,653 $38.9M
5 Citizens Business Bank 1.97% 2,000,000 $12.0M
6 Kanen Wealth Management LLC 1.83% 845,922 $5.1M
7 Solel Partners LP 1.60% 1,245,000 $7.5M
8 AREX Capital Management, LP 1.49% 150,000 $903K
9 ABS Direct Equity Fund LLC 0.83% 180,000 $1.1M
10 Shay Capital LLC 0.54% 1,073,651 $6.5M
11 Diametric Capital, LP 0.47% 302,320 $1.8M
12 Dba Trading, LLC 0.40% 132,877 $800K
13 CenterBook Partners LP 0.30% 916,642 $5.5M
14 Luxor Capital Group, LP 0.26% 609,275 $3.7M
15 K2 Principal Fund, L.P. 0.25% 600,000 $3.6M
16 Clark Estates Inc/Ny 0.21% 144,736 $871K
17 Prescott Group Capital Management, L.L.C. 0.20% 340,000 $2.0M
18 Atairos Group, Inc. 0.11% 225,550 $1.4M
19 Rock Creek Group LLC 0.09% 150,000 $903K
20 Shay Capital LLC 0.04% 79,900 $481K
21 CastleKnight Management LP 0.04% 381,500 $2.3M
22 MUFG Securities EMEA plc 0.03% 300,000 $1.8M
23 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 0.03% 1,250,000 $7.5M
24 Prelude Capital Management, LLC 0.02% 53,289 $321K
25 Asset Planning,Inc 0.02% 5,280 $32K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for XPOF?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for XPOF?

More sellers than buyers — 46% buying: Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 51 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for XPOF holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 16% AUM from top-100: 30 of 111 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 16% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held XPOF?

42% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 48 out of 114 hedge funds have held XPOF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, XPOF has moved +42.6% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.5% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +42.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), XPOF has gained +13.5% vs +7.5% for XLY. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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