Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in XLF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -93
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
44%

Smart Money Signals — XLF

Based on 1856 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XLF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (95% of max)

95% of all-time peak
1,856 hedge funds hold XLF right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+70 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying

826 buying1035 selling
Last quarter: 1,035 funds reduced or exited vs 826 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-127 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 158 → 166 → 285 → 158. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years

66% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 15% new
1,221 out of 1,856 hedge funds have held XLF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

189 → 158 → 166 → 285 → 158 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 158 → 166 → 285 → 158. A growing number of institutions are discovering XLF each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 18% newcomers

69% veterans 13% 1-2yr 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,942 holders: 1,342 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 252 entered 1–2 years ago, and 348 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds

59% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 1837 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in XLF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — XLF

In 2026 Q1, 826 hedge funds were net buyers of XLF (158 opened a new position, 668 added to an existing one), while 1035 reduced or exited (784 trimmed, 251 sold completely) — a 44% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 59% of total institutional value in XLF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -93 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1856.

Hedge Fund Ownership: XLF

How many hedge funds hold XLF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of XLF vs. share price

Market Analysis: XLF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: XLF

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much XLF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
XLF
+1220.3%
SPY
+15.9%

XLF outperformed SPY by +1204.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
XLF
+4.8%
SPY
+2.0%

Since the filing became public, XLF outperformed SPY by +2.8% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

79 top-rated funds 38 high-conviction
Consensus
8.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: XLF
2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in XLF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1829 1949 -6.16%
13F Shares 964M 1.12B -13.77%
Total Value $46.19B $61.07B -24.37%
New Positions 148 285 -137
Increased Positions 649 719 -70
Closed Positions 268 148 +120
Reduced Positions 744 670 +74
Total Calls 51 39 30.77%
Total Puts 53 51 3.92%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.04 1.31 Neutral

Statistics: XLF

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in XLF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 XLF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 JCSD Capital, LLC 26.12% 500,000 $24.7M
2 Tiff Advisory Services, LLC 17.35% 1,559,062 $77.0M
3 New Vernon Investment Management LLC 11.42% 217,879 $10.8M
4 IMZ Advisory Inc 10.13% 542,839 $26.8M
5 WestEnd Advisors, LLC 9.25% 7,763,625 $383.3M
6 Petredis Investment Advisors LLC 8.10% 2,006,476 $99.1M
7 Keystone Global Partners, LLC 7.92% 361,575 $17.9M
8 Yelin Lapidot Holdings Management Ltd. 7.87% 765,764 $37.8M
9 Lakeshore Financial Planning, Inc. 7.73% 431,723 $21.3M
10 J.Safra Asset Management Corp 6.97% 2,619,257 $129.3M
11 Southern Capital Services Inc /Adv 5.89% 185,520 $9.2M
12 Lighthouse Financial Services Inc /Adv 5.84% 500,018 $25.9M
13 Washington Growth Strategies LLC 5.56% 172,419 $8.5M
14 Bellwether Advisors, LLC 5.35% 639,543 $31.6M
15 AAFMAA Wealth Management & Trust LLC 5.28% 275,674 $13.6M
16 Bonfire Financial 5.26% 141,526 $7.0M
17 Aventus Investment Advisors, Inc. 5.21% 124,703 $6.2M
18 Affinity Wealth Management LLC 5.00% 669,642 $33.1M
19 McAlister, Sweet & Associates, Inc. 4.76% 154,767 $7.6M
20 Bayview Asset Management, LLC 4.75% 250,000 $12.3M
21 Kranot Hishtalmut Le Morim Ve Gananot Havera Menahelet LTD 4.65% 1,436,292 $70.9M
22 Kranot Hishtalmut Le Morim Tichoniim Havera Menahelet LTD 4.60% 470,998 $23.3M
23 Compass Wealth Management, LLC/GA 4.59% 217,843 $10.8M
24 Innealta Capital, LLC 4.42% 144,113 $7.1M
25 Prudent Investors Network, INC. 4.36% 405,309 $20.0M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for XLF?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their XLF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for XLF?

More sellers than buyers — 44% buying: Last quarter: 1,035 funds reduced or exited vs 826 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for XLF holders?

Elite ownership — 59% AUM from top-100 funds: 43 of 1837 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 59% of total institutional value in XLF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held XLF?

66% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,221 out of 1,856 hedge funds have held XLF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, XLF has moved +4.8% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +2.0% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +2.8%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), XLF has gained +1220.3% vs +15.9% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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