Stock Analysis

INNOVATOR U.S. EQUITY ACCELERATED 9 BUFFER ETF - APRIL (XBAP)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +1
Streak
4Q ▲
Buyers last Q
41%

Smart Money Signals — XBAP

Based on 50 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
50 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +28% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+11 new funds entered over the past year (+28% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 41% buying

16 buying23 selling
Last quarter: 23 funds reduced or exited vs 16 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~3 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 9 → 7 → 3. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

48% of holders stayed for 2+ years

48% conviction (2yr+) 36% medium 16% new
24 out of 50 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

5 → 5 → 9 → 7 → 3 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 9 → 7 → 3. The stock is well-known in the hedge fund world but new entries are declining. The easy phase of institutional discovery may be behind us.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 54% of holders stayed 2+ years

54% veterans 22% 1-2yr 24% new
Of 50 current holders: 27 (54%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 12% top-100 AUM

12% from top-100 AUM funds
Only 6 of 50 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. The stock is held mostly by smaller and mid-sized funds — the largest institutional players haven't yet built significant positions.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Hedge Fund Ownership: XBAP

How many hedge funds hold XBAP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of XBAP vs. share price

Market Analysis: XBAP

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: XBAP

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Hedge Fund Positioning: XBAP
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: XBAP

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed