Based on 18 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed this position than added to it. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 75% of 2.0Y peak
75% of all-time peak
18 funds currently hold this stock — 75% of the 2.0-year high of 24 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +350% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+14 new funds entered over the past year (+350% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 17% buying
4 buying19 selling
Last quarter: 19 funds sold vs only 4 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 14 → 8 → 5 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 50% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 50% medium
■ 50% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -21%, value -99%
Last quarter: funds added -21% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -99%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
4 → 14 → 8 → 5 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 14 → 8 → 5 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 94% of holders entered in last year
■ 6% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 94% new
Of 18 current holders: 17 (94%) entered in the past year, only 1 (6%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 33% from major AUM funds
33% from top-100 AUM funds
6 of 18 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. A meaningful share of the ownership base comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.