Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Valvoline Inc (VVV)

449 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in VVV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +38
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
56%

Smart Money Signals — VVV

Based on 454 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added VVV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
454 hedge funds hold VVV right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +12% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+48 new funds entered over the past year (+12% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 56% buying

234 buying184 selling
Last quarter: 234 funds bought or added vs 184 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 55 → 50 → 86 → 76. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

63% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 19% new
288 out of 454 hedge funds have held VVV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +22% but shares only +7% — price-driven

Value
+22%
Shares
+6%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +22%, but actual share count only changed +7%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

65 → 55 → 50 → 86 → 76 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 55 → 50 → 86 → 76. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 22% newcomers

69% veterans 10% 1-2yr 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 460 holders: 316 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 45 entered 1–2 years ago, and 99 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 41% AUM from top-100 funds

41% from top-100 AUM funds
59 of 452 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 41% of total institutional value in VVV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — VVV

In 2026 Q2, 234 hedge funds were net buyers of VVV (76 opened a new position, 158 added to an existing one), while 184 reduced or exited (146 trimmed, 38 sold completely) — a 56% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 41% of total institutional value in VVV is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +38 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 454.

Hedge Fund Ownership: VVV

How many hedge funds hold VVV — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of VVV vs. share price

Market Analysis: VVV

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: VVV

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Valvoline Inc (VVV) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much VVV has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 77d ago
VVV
-23.2%
XLY
-3.8%

VVV outperformed XLY by -19.4% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 32d ago
VVV
-11.2%
XLY
-4.5%

Since the filing became public, VVV outperformed XLY by -6.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 5 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.5
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: VVV
449 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in VVV. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 449 416 7.93%
13F Shares 159M 149M 6.54%
Total Value $6.00B $4.91B 22.34%
New Positions 74 86 -12
Increased Positions 158 164 -6
Closed Positions 39 40 -1
Reduced Positions 143 107 +36
Total Calls 5 3 66.67%
Total Puts 3 2 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.6 0.67 Bullish

Statistics: VVV

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

449 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in VVV. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 VVV holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Alua Capital Management LP 100.00% 2,597,673 $102.7M
2 Vision One Management Partners, LP 17.38% 1,220,688 $48.3M
3 Scopia Capital Management LP 9.99% 282,264 $11.2M
4 Tensile Capital Management LP 8.48% 1,553,843 $61.4M
5 Broyhill Asset Management, LLC 4.84% 137,534 $5.4M
6 Hawk Ridge Capital Management LP 3.73% 2,940,050 $116.2M
7 Eminence Capital, LP 3.42% 4,425,261 $149.0M
8 Fiduciary Management Inc /Wi/ 2.88% 5,122,337 $202.5M
9 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.60% 2,859,112 $113.0M
10 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 2.55% 139,356 $5.5M
11 Alta Fox Capital Management, LLC 2.39% 299,971 $11.9M
12 Scholtz & Company, LLC 2.34% 118,584 $4.7M
13 Resolute Capital Asset Partners LLC 2.11% 125,000 $4.9M
14 Cooke & Bieler LP 1.59% 3,473,065 $137.3M
15 Wasatch Advisors LP 1.57% 6,074,830 $240.2M
16 Geneva Capital Management LLC 1.51% 1,665,139 $65.8M
17 Junto Capital Management LP 1.43% 2,065,982 $81.7M
18 Snyder Capital Management L P 1.38% 2,017,556 $79.8M
19 Aristotle Capital Boston, LLC 1.21% 457,955 $18.1M
20 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 1.08% 603,514 $23.9M
21 Charter Oak Advisors LP 1.00% 46,171 $1.8M
22 Interval Partners, LP 0.93% 916,555 $36.2M
23 VELA Investment Management, LLC 0.92% 108,766 $4.3M
24 William Allan Corp 0.85% 44,170 $1.7M
25 Champlain Investment Partners, LLC 0.83% 817,494 $32.3M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Valvoline Inc (VVV)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for VVV?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added VVV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for VVV?

Slight buying edge — 56% buying: Last quarter: 234 funds bought or added vs 184 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for VVV holders?

Elite ownership — 41% AUM from top-100 funds: 59 of 452 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 41% of total institutional value in VVV. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held VVV?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 288 out of 454 hedge funds have held VVV for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Valvoline Inc (VVV) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, VVV has moved -11.2% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -4.5% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of -6.7%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), VVV has gained -23.2% vs -3.8% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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