Based on 217 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added VRDN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
217 hedge funds hold VRDN right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +28% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+48 new funds entered over the past year (+28% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 71% buying
154 buying62 selling
Last quarter: 154 funds were net buyers (74 opened a brand new position + 80 added to an existing one). Only 62 were sellers (46 trimmed + 16 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
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More new buyers each quarter (+59 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new VRDN position: 26 → 21 → 15 → 74. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒
40% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 40% conviction (2yr+)
■ 29% medium
■ 31% new
86 out of 217 hedge funds have held VRDN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰
Value +66% but shares only +16% — price-driven
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +66%, but actual share count only changed +16%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
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Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
38 → 26 → 21 → 15 → 74 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 21 → 15 → 74. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 52% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 52% veterans
■ 15% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 222 current holders: 115 (52%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds
40% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 217 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in VRDN. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.