Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)

218 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in VIST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +74
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
72%

Smart Money Signals — VIST

Based on 218 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added VIST than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
218 hedge funds hold VIST right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +34% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+55 new funds entered over the past year (+34% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 72% buying

157 buying61 selling
Last quarter: 157 funds were net buyers (93 opened a brand new position + 64 added to an existing one). Only 61 were sellers (42 trimmed + 19 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+56 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new VIST position: 27 → 32 → 37 → 93. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 33% long-term, 39% new

■ 33% conviction (2yr+) ■ 28% medium ■ 39% new
Of the 218 current holders: 72 (33%) held >2 years, 61 held 1–2 years, and 85 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💰

Value +64% but shares only +6% — price-driven

Value
+64%
Shares
+6%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +64%, but actual share count only changed +6%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

27 → 27 → 32 → 37 → 93 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 32 → 37 → 93. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 42% veterans vs 37% newcomers

■ 42% veterans ■ 21% 1-2yr ■ 37% new
Entry-cohort mix of 227 holders: 96 (42%) are 2+ year veterans, 48 entered 1–2 years ago, and 83 (37%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds

39% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 214 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — VIST

In 2026 Q1, 157 hedge funds were net buyers of VIST (93 opened a new position, 64 added to an existing one), while 61 reduced or exited (42 trimmed, 19 sold completely) — a 72% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 39% of total institutional value in VIST is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +74 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 218.

Hedge Fund Ownership: VIST

How many hedge funds hold VIST — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of VIST vs. share price

Market Analysis: VIST

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: VIST

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much VIST has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
VIST
-8.2%
XLE
+60644.4%

VIST outperformed XLE by -60652.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
VIST
-4.2%
XLE
+49600.0%

Since the filing became public, VIST outperformed XLE by -49604.2% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Growing Institutional Interest

Quality funds are building positions — conviction is rising but not yet widespread.

15 top-rated funds 9 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: VIST
218 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in VIST. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 218 144 51.39%
13F Shares 51M 47M 6.4%
Total Value $3.47B $2.12B 64.16%
New Positions 93 37 +56
Increased Positions 64 39 +25
Closed Positions 19 36 -17
Reduced Positions 40 46 -6
Total Calls 7 6 16.67%
Total Puts 6 4 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.86 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: VIST

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

218 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in VIST. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 VIST holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Kirkoswald Asset Management LLC 82.13% 56,901 $4.3M
2 Abu Dhabi Investment Council Co P.J.S.C 18.93% 2,444,627 $184.5M
3 Cape Ann Asset Management Ltd 15.97% 931,842 $70.3M
4 Fundamenta Capital S.A. 13.55% 209,000 $15.8M
5 Equinox Partners Investment Management LLC 9.28% 301,667 $22.8M
6 TT International Asset Management LTD 8.10% 982,929 $74.2M
7 Sagil Capital LLP 7.18% 250,000 $18.9M
8 Gemsstock Ltd. 5.33% 670,275 $50.6M
9 Ashoka WhiteOak Capital Pte Ltd 4.55% 158,785 $12.0M
10 Moneda S.A. Administradora General de Fondos 4.53% 73,536 $5.5M
11 GeoSphere Capital Management, LLC 4.12% 125,000 $9.4M
12 Route One Investment Company, L.P. 3.91% 1,216,700 $91.8M
13 VR Advisory Services Ltd 3.29% 368,652 $27.8M
14 Fourth Sail Capital LP 2.98% 240,000 $18.1M
15 Apis Capital Advisors, LLC 2.68% 230,000 $17.4M
16 Wexford Capital LP 2.63% 240,104 $18.1M
17 Ninety One North America, Inc. 2.08% 615,315 $46.4M
18 RWC Asset Management LLP 1.89% 600,300 $45.3M
19 ABS Direct Equity Fund LLC 1.73% 30,000 $2.3M
20 Ruffer LLP 1.65% 532,920 $40.3M
21 Ping Capital Management, INC. 1.58% 73,300 $5.5M
22 NS Partners Ltd 1.56% 461,370 $34.8M
23 Encompass Capital Advisors LLC 1.23% 543,551 $41.0M
24 Deltec Asset Management LLC 1.15% 82,782 $6.2M
25 Pickering Energy Partners LP 0.80% 5,000 $377K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for VIST?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added VIST than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for VIST?

More buyers than sellers — 72% buying: Last quarter: 157 funds were net buyers (93 opened a brand new position + 64 added to an existing one). Only 61 were sellers (42 trimmed + 19 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for VIST holders?

Strong quality — 39% AUM from major funds: 40 of 214 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 39% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held VIST?

Mixed — 33% long-term, 39% new: Of the 218 current holders: 72 (33%) held >2 years, 61 held 1–2 years, and 85 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, VIST has moved -4.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +49600.0% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -49604.2%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), VIST has gained -8.2% vs +60644.4% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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