Based on 12 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their VGASW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 48% of 3.0Y high
48% of all-time peak
Only 12 funds hold VGASW today versus a peak of 25 funds at 2023 Q3 — just 48% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 25% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
4 fewer hedge funds hold VGASW compared to a year ago (-25% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 12% buying
1 buying7 selling
Last quarter: 7 funds sold vs only 1 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~0 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 3 → 2 → 0. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
67% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 67% conviction (2yr+)
■ 17% medium
■ 17% new
8 out of 12 hedge funds have held VGASW for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares -25%, value -97%
Last quarter: funds added -25% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -97%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
1 → 2 → 3 → 2 → 0 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 3 → 2 → 0. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 33% newcomers
■ 67% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Entry-cohort mix of 12 holders: 8 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 0 entered 1–2 years ago, and 4 (33%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
0 of 11 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.