Based on 3 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added VFTAX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🔻
Below peak — only 60% of 3.0Y high
60% of all-time peak
Only 3 funds hold VFTAX today versus a peak of 5 funds at 2024 Q2 — just 60% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 40% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
2 fewer hedge funds hold VFTAX compared to a year ago (-40% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 33% buying
1 buying2 selling
Last quarter: 2 funds sold vs only 1 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 0 → 3 → 0 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
📌
Mixed — 33% long-term, 33% new
■ 33% conviction (2yr+)
■ 33% medium
■ 33% new
Of the 3 current holders: 1 (33%) held >2 years, 1 held 1–2 years, and 1 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
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Buying through price weakness — shares +5%, value -44%
Last quarter: funds added +5% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -44%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
3 → 0 → 3 → 0 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 0 → 3 → 0 → 1. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
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Mixed cohorts — 33% veterans, 33% new entrants
■ 33% veterans
■ 33% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 3 current holders: 1 (33%) held 2+ years, 1 held 1–2 years, 1 (33%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
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Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
0 of 3 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.