Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral (VFIAX)

36 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in VFIAX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -3
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — VFIAX

Based on 36 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their VFIAX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 73% of 3.0Y peak

73% of all-time peak
36 funds currently hold this stock — 73% of the 3.0-year high of 49 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
5 fewer hedge funds hold VFIAX compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

18 buying20 selling
Last quarter: 20 funds reduced or exited vs 18 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 3 → 9 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years

61% conviction (2yr+) 19% medium 19% new
22 out of 36 hedge funds have held VFIAX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~5 new funds/quarter

5 → 12 → 3 → 9 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 3 → 9 → 5. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 61% of holders stayed 2+ years

61% veterans 17% 1-2yr 22% new
Of 36 current holders: 22 (61%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100

0% from top-100 AUM funds
0 of 36 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
2.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: VFIAX

How many hedge funds hold VFIAX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of VFIAX vs. share price

Market Analysis: VFIAX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: VFIAX

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

2 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
2.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: VFIAX
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 19 days 36 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in VFIAX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 36 39 -7.69%
13F Shares 471K 494K -4.57%
Total Value $298M $300M -0.82%
New Positions 5 9 -4
Increased Positions 13 10 +3
Closed Positions 8 6 +2
Reduced Positions 12 15 -3
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: VFIAX

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

36 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in VFIAX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 17 institutional holders of VFIAX — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 FIRST MERCHANTS CORP 4.87% 212,425 $128.0M
2 FULTON BANK, N.A. 2.69% 126,779 $76.4M
3 Coston, McIsaac & Partners 0.75% 5,496 $3.3M
4 NORTHSTAR ASSET MANAGEMENT Co 0.60% 4,465 $2.7M
5 NEVILLE RODIE & SHAW INC 0.27% 6,140 $4K
6 Sippican Capital Advisors 0.23% 556 $335K
7 Grey Fox Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.22% 1,868 $1.1M
8 Redwood Wealth Management Group, LLC 0.21% 791 $477K
9 Kohmann Bosshard Financial Services, LLC 0.20% 3,978 $2.4M
10 Violich Capital Management, Inc. 0.16% 2,333 $1.4M
11 MOODY LYNN LIEBERSON & WALKER, LLC 0.16% 4,737 $2.9M
12 NORTH POINT PORTFOLIO MANAGERS CORP/OH 0.14% 1,312 $791K
13 RIVERBRIDGE PARTNERS LLC 0.11% 7,184 $4.3M
14 BRAUN STACEY ASSOCIATES INC 0.07% 3,418 $2.1M
15 ROWLANDMILLER & PARTNERS.ADV 0.04% 287
16 Oakworth Capital, Inc. 0.01% 407 $245K
17 Game Plan Financial Advisors, LLC 0.00% 13 $8K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral (VFIAX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for VFIAX?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their VFIAX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for VFIAX?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 20 funds reduced or exited vs 18 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for VFIAX holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100: 0 of 36 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held VFIAX?

61% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 22 out of 36 hedge funds have held VFIAX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.