Based on 36 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their VFIAX positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 73% of 3.0Y peak
73% of all-time peak
36 funds currently hold this stock — 73% of the 3.0-year high of 49 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 12% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
5 fewer hedge funds hold VFIAX compared to a year ago (-12% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
18 buying20 selling
Last quarter: 20 funds reduced or exited vs 18 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 12 → 3 → 9 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
61% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 61% conviction (2yr+)
■ 19% medium
■ 19% new
22 out of 36 hedge funds have held VFIAX for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~5 new funds/quarter
5 → 12 → 3 → 9 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 12 → 3 → 9 → 5. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 61% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 61% veterans
■ 17% 1-2yr
■ 22% new
Of 36 current holders: 22 (61%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
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Smaller funds dominant — 0% AUM from top-100
0% from top-100 AUM funds
0 of 36 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 0% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
Exit risk score 2.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.