Based on 21 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their VCICW positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻
Below peak — only 68% of 2.2Y high
68% of all-time peak
Only 21 funds hold VCICW today versus a peak of 31 funds at 2025 Q3 — just 68% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
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Outflows — 9% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
2 fewer hedge funds hold VCICW compared to a year ago (-9% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying
5 buying15 selling
Last quarter: 15 funds sold vs only 5 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~4 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 7 → 7 → 1 → 4. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 38% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 62% medium
■ 38% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰
Price up while funds trimmed (+1036% value, -13% shares)
Last quarter: total value of institutional VCICW holdings rose +1036% even though funds reduced share count by 13%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
5 → 7 → 7 → 1 → 4 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 7 → 7 → 1 → 4. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🌱
Early stage — 62% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 38% 1-2yr
■ 62% new
Of 21 current holders: 13 (62%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆
Elite ownership — 95% AUM from top-100 funds
95% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 21 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 95% of total institutional value in VCICW. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.