Based on 66 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added UMAR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (97% of max)
97% of all-time peak
66 hedge funds hold UMAR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +25% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+13 new funds entered over the past year (+25% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 27% buying
15 buying41 selling
Last quarter: 41 funds sold vs only 15 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~10 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 21 → 13 → 6 → 10. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
41% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 41% conviction (2yr+)
■ 39% medium
■ 20% new
27 out of 66 hedge funds have held UMAR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
5 → 21 → 13 → 6 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 21 → 13 → 6 → 10. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 44% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 44% veterans
■ 23% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 66 current holders: 29 (44%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 2% AUM from top-100
2% from top-100 AUM funds
7 of 66 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 2% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.